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Detecting identification failure in moment condition models

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  • Forneron, Jean-Jacques

Abstract

This paper develops an approach to detect identification failure in moment condition models. This is achieved by introducing a quasi-Jacobian matrix computed as the slope of a linear approximation of the moments on an estimate of the identified set. It is asymptotically singular when local and/or global identification fails, and equivalent to the usual Jacobian matrix which has full rank when the model is globally and locally identified. Building on this property, a simple test with chi-squared critical values is introduced to conduct subvector inferences allowing for strong, semi-strong, and weak identification without a priori knowledge about the underlying identification structure. Monte-Carlo simulations and an empirical application to the Long-Run Risks model illustrate the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Forneron, Jean-Jacques, 2024. "Detecting identification failure in moment condition models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 238(1).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:238:y:2024:i:1:s0304407623002683
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2023.105552
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing; Uniform inference; Global identification; Indirect inference;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C36 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Instrumental Variables (IV) Estimation

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