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Términos de intercambio y productividad total de factores: Evidencia empírica de los mercados emergentes de América latina

Listed author(s):
  • Castillo, Paul
  • Rojas, Youel

En este documento se utiliza datos trimestrales para identificar la relación entre los términos de intercambio y la productividad total de factores (PTF) para México, Perú y Chile. Se utiliza un enfoque de dos etapas: primero, se estima la senda histórica de la PTF para cada país utilizando un modelo estructural DSGE para una economía pequeña y abierta. Luego, en un segundo paso, la PTF se descompone entre un componente doméstico y uno externo ligado a los términos de intercambio, haciendo uso de un modelo VAR estructural con restricciones de largo plazo, como en Blanchard y Quah (1989). Se encuentra que los choques de términos de intercambio generan importantes ganancias de productividad en las economías consideradas, no solo de corto plazo sino también de mediano y largo plazos, predominando en nuestra muestra los impactos de corto y mediano plazos.

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File URL: http://www.bcrp.gob.pe/docs/Publicaciones/Revista-Estudios-Economicos/28/ree-28-castillo-rojas.pdf
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Article provided by Banco Central de Reserva del Perú in its journal Revista Estudios Económicos.

Volume (Year): (2014)
Issue (Month): 28 ()
Pages: 27-46

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Handle: RePEc:rbp:esteco:ree-28-02
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  1. Céspedes, Nikita & Aquije, María & Sánchez, Alan & Vera Tudela, Rafael, 2014. "Productividad sectorial en el Perú: Un análisis a nivel de firmas," Revista Estudios Económicos, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú, issue 28, pages 9-26.
  2. Mendoza, Enrique G, 1995. "The Terms of Trade, the Real Exchange Rate, and Economic Fluctuations," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 36(1), pages 101-137, February.
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  7. Nikita Céspedes Reynaga & Silvio Rendon, 2012. "The Frisch Elasticity in Labor Markets with high Job Turnover," Department of Economics Working Papers 12-13, Stony Brook University, Department of Economics.
  8. Javier Garcia-Cicco & Roberto Pancrazi & Martin Uribe, 2010. "Real Business Cycles in Emerging Countries?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 100(5), pages 2510-2531, December.
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  11. Paul Castillo & Carlos Montoro & Vicente Tuesta, 2013. "An Estimated Stochastic General Equilibrium Model with Partial Dollarization: A Bayesian Approach," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 217-265, April.
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  13. Neumeyer, Pablo A. & Perri, Fabrizio, 2005. "Business cycles in emerging economies: the role of interest rates," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 345-380, March.
  14. Nikita Céspedes & Maria E. Aquije & Alan Sánchez & Rafael Vera-Tudela, 2014. "Productividad y tratados de libre comercio a nivel de empresas en Perú," Working Papers 2014-27, Peruvian Economic Association.
  15. Javier García-Cicco & Markus Kirchner & Santiago Justel, 2014. "Financial Frictions and the Transmission of Foreign Shocks in Chile," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 722, Central Bank of Chile.
  16. Greenwood, Jeremy & Hercowitz, Zvi & Huffman, Gregory W, 1988. "Investment, Capacity Utilization, and the Real Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 78(3), pages 402-417, June.
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