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Comment on Giacomini, Kitagawa and Read's 'Narrative Restrictions and Proxies'

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  • Lutz Kilian

Abstract

In a series of recent studies, Raffaella Giacomini and Toru Kitagawa have developed an innovative new methodological approach to estimating sign-identified structural VAR models that seeks to build a bridge between Bayesian and frequentist approaches in the literature. Their latest paper with Matthew Read contains thought-provoking new insights about modeling narrative restrictions in sign-identified structural VAR models. My discussion puts their contribution into the context of Giacomini and Kitagawa’s broader research agenda and relates it to the larger literature on estimating structural VAR models subject to sign restrictions.

Suggested Citation

  • Lutz Kilian, 2021. "Comment on Giacomini, Kitagawa and Read's 'Narrative Restrictions and Proxies'," Working Papers 2117, Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:feddwp:93526
    DOI: 10.24149/wp2117
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    Keywords

    Structural VAR; single prior; multiple priors; posterior; joint inference; impulse responses; narrative restrictions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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