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Bayesian Estimation of the GARCH(1,1) Model with Student-t Innovations

Author

Listed:
  • David Ardia

    (University of Fribourg, Switzerland)

  • Lennart F. Hoogerheide

    (Erasmus University Rotterdam)

Abstract

This note presents the R package bayesGARCH (Ardia, 2007) which provides functions for the Bayesian estimation of the parsimonious and effective GARCH(1,1) model with Student- t innovations. The estimation procedure is fully automatic and thus avoids the tedious task of tuning a MCMC sampling algorithm. The usage of the package is shown in an empirical application to exchange rate logreturns.

Suggested Citation

  • David Ardia & Lennart F. Hoogerheide, 2010. "Bayesian Estimation of the GARCH(1,1) Model with Student-t Innovations," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 10-045/4, Tinbergen Institute.
  • Handle: RePEc:tin:wpaper:20100045
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    File URL: https://papers.tinbergen.nl/10045.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John Geweke, 2004. "Getting It Right: Joint Distribution Tests of Posterior Simulators," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 99, pages 799-804, January.
    2. Deschamps, Philippe J., 2006. "A flexible prior distribution for Markov switching autoregressions with Student-t errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 153-190, July.
    3. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    4. Nakatsuma Teruo, 1998. "A Markov-Chain Sampling Algorithm for GARCH Models," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 3(2), pages 1-13, July.
    5. Geweke, J, 1993. "Bayesian Treatment of the Independent Student- t Linear Model," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 8(S), pages 19-40, Suppl. De.
    6. Ardia, David, 2009. "Bayesian Estimation of the GARCH(1,1) Model with Student-t Innovations in R," MPRA Paper 17414, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Aßmann, Christian & Boysen-Hogrefe, Jens & Pape, Markus, 2012. "The directional identification problem in Bayesian factor analysis: An ex-post approach," Kiel Working Papers 1799, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    2. Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuña & Paola Andrea Vaca González, 2017. "Ajuste de modelos garch clásico y bayesiano con innovaciones t—student para el índice COLCAP," Revista de Economía del Caribe 017172, Universidad del Norte.
    3. Tore Selland Kleppe, 2016. "Adaptive Step Size Selection for Hessian-Based Manifold Langevin Samplers," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 43(3), pages 788-805, September.
    4. Jairo Fúquene & Marta Álvarez & Luis Raúl Pericchi, 2015. "A robust Bayesian dynamic linear model for Latin-American economic time series: “the Mexico and Puerto Rico cases”," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 24(1), pages 1-17, December.
    5. Oscar Andrés Espinosa Acuña & Paola Andrea Vaca González, 2017. "Ajuste de modelos garch clásico y bayesiano con innovaciones t—student para el índice COLCAP," Revista de Economía del Caribe 017147, Universidad del Norte.
    6. Gordon V. Chavez, 2019. "Dynamic tail inference with log-Laplace volatility," Papers 1901.02419, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian; Markov Chain Monte Carlo; GARCH; Student-t; R software;

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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