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Crecimiento regional en Colombia: ¿Persiste la desigualdad?

Author

Listed:
  • Ricardo Rocha
  • Alejandro Vivas

Abstract

Para el período 1980 - 1994 se aporta evidencia empírica sobre los vínculos teóricos entre las disparidades regionales y el crecimiento. En la primera parte, se discute sobre los determinantes de los patrones regionales de crecimiento, haciendo endógena la política fiscal, la inestabilidad sociopolítica, e igualmente haciendo endógena la fertilidad y el funcionamiento de los mercados. En la segunda parte, tomando como referencia el modelo neoclásico de crecimiento endógeno, se levanta el supuesto de homogeneidad en las condiciones de estado estacionario de las preferencias y la tecnología, y mediante una predeterminación bayesiana se estima de manera regional ingresos de estado estacionario y tasas de convergencia. Para el período 1980 - 1994, los resultados favorecen la hipótesis de no convergencia o de persistencia en la desigualdad regional.

Suggested Citation

  • Ricardo Rocha & Alejandro Vivas, 1998. "Crecimiento regional en Colombia: ¿Persiste la desigualdad?," Revista de Economía del Rosario, Universidad del Rosario, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000151:002227
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    File URL: http://revistas.urosario.edu.co/index.php/economia/article/view/946/845
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Predeterminación bayesiana; crecimiento regional; crecimiento endógeno; convergencia; persistencia de la desigualdad; política fiscal endógena; inestabilidad sociopolítica; fertilidad endógena; imperfección de los mercados;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • H73 - Public Economics - - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations - - - Interjurisdictional Differentials and Their Effects
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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