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Minimum Wage Shocks in an Estimated DSGE Model with Underreporting

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  • Alisher Tolepbergen

    (NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University)

Abstract

We build and estimate a New Keynesian DSGE model to analyze the macroeconomic effects of minimum wage shocks in an economy characterized by a high degree of wage underreporting. The estimation results suggest that the effect of the minimum wage shocks to all economic aggregates but employment is not significant. The impulse response analysis shows that a higher degree of underreporting results in less responsive dynamics to the minimum wage shocks. In addition, the magnitude of the responses is also affected by the share of Non-Ricardian households in the economy. Overall, we find that an increase in the minimum wage in the economy with a high degree of underreporting does not significantly affect the dynamics of macroeconomic variables.

Suggested Citation

  • Alisher Tolepbergen, 2021. "Minimum Wage Shocks in an Estimated DSGE Model with Underreporting," NAC Analytica Working Paper 20, NAC Analytica, Nazarbayev University, revised Dec 2021.
  • Handle: RePEc:ajx:wpaper:20
    as

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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tonin, Mirco, 2011. "Minimum wage and tax evasion: Theory and evidence," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 95(11), pages 1635-1651.
    2. Heberer, Eva Maria., 2010. "The Effects of a Minimum Wage in a Dsge Model: an Extension of the Bénassy Model," Panorama Económico, Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, vol. 0(10), pages 7-39, primer se.
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    4. Card, David & Krueger, Alan B, 1994. "Minimum Wages and Employment: A Case Study of the Fast-Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 84(4), pages 772-793, September.
    5. Alisher Tolepbergen, 2022. "The role of labor market structure and shocks for monetary policy in Kazakhstan," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 179-210, February.
    6. Erlan Konebayev, 2023. "Estimation of a small open economy DSGE model for Kazakhstan," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(7), pages 670-707, October.
    7. Williams Colin, 2009. "Evaluating the Extent and Nature of ‘Envelope Wages’ in the European Union: A Geographical Analysis," European Spatial Research and Policy, Sciendo, vol. 16(1), pages 115-129, June.
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    11. Anastasiia Antonova, 2018. "Macroeconomic Effects of Minimum Wage Increases in an Economy with Wage Underreporting," Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine, National Bank of Ukraine, issue 246, pages 10-33.
    12. N. Abilov, 2021. "A Medium-Scale Bayesian DSGE Model for Kazakhstan with Incomplete Exchange Rate Pass-Through," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(4), pages 486-522, October.
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Minimum Wage Shocks in an Estimated DSGE Model with Underreporting
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2022-03-25 23:35:13

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    DSGE; Minimum Wage; Underreporting; Non-Ricardian; Bayesian Estimation.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E26 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Informal Economy; Underground Economy
    • E64 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Incomes Policy; Price Policy

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