IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/esy/uefcwp/18194.html

Decomposing Global Yield Curve Co-Movement

Author

Listed:
  • Byrne, JP
  • Cao, S
  • Korobilis, D

Abstract

This paper explains the co-movement of global yield curve dynamics using a Bayesian hierarchical factor model augmented with macro fundamentals. Our novel modeling approach reveals the relative importance of global shocks through two transmission channels: the policy and risk channels. Global inflation is the most important traditional macro fundamentals for international yields and operates through a policy channel. Economic uncertainty and sentiment are also important in driving global yield co-movements, through a risk channel.

Suggested Citation

  • Byrne, JP & Cao, S & Korobilis, D, 2016. "Decomposing Global Yield Curve Co-Movement," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 18194, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
    • Handle: RePEc:esy:uefcwp:18194
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://repository.essex.ac.uk/18194/
    File Function: original version
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Petter Eilif de Lange & Morten Risstad & Kristian Semmen & Sjur Westgaard, 2023. "Term Premia in Norwegian Interest Rate Swaps," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-19, March.
    3. Ioannis A. Venetis & Avgoustinos Ladas, 2023. "Co-movement and global factors in sovereign bond yields," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 17-45.
    4. Umar, Zaghum & Riaz, Yasir & Aharon, David Y., 2022. "Network connectedness dynamics of the yield curve of G7 countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 275-288.
    5. Demetri Tsanacas, 2022. "Valuation Challenges in High Tech Platform Based Corporations," International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), International Journal of Economics & Business Administration (IJEBA), vol. 0(1), pages 89-100.
    6. Kei-Ichiro Inaba, 2020. "The Integration of Countries' Sovereign Bond Markets: An Empirical Illustration of a Global Financial Cycle," IMES Discussion Paper Series 20-E-01, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan.
    7. Wohlfarth, Paul & Chen, Xiaohong, 2024. "Limits to arbitrage and the term structure of CIP violations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    8. María Nieves López-García & Miguel Angel Sánchez-Granero & Juan Evangelista Trinidad-Segovia & Antonio Manuel Puertas & Francisco Javier De las Nieves, 2021. "Volatility Co-Movement in Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(6), pages 1-19, March.
    9. Badics, Milan Csaba & Huszar, Zsuzsa R. & Kotro, Balazs B., 2023. "The impact of crisis periods and monetary decisions of the Fed and the ECB on the sovereign yield curve network," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    10. Berndt Jesenko & Christian Schlögl, 2021. "The effect of web of science subject categories on clustering: the case of data-driven methods in business and economic sciences," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 126(8), pages 6785-6801, August.
    11. Inaba, Kei-Ichiro, 2021. "An empirical illustration of the integration of sovereign bond markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    12. Yahyaei, Hamid & Singh, Abhay & Smith, Tom, 2025. "Ex ante bond returns and time-varying monotonicity," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    13. Cross, Jamie L. & Hoogerheide, Lennart & Labonne, Paul & van Dijk, Herman K., 2024. "Bayesian mode inference for discrete distributions in economics and finance," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • F3 - International Economics - - International Finance
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:esy:uefcwp:18194. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Nikolaos Vlastakis The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask Nikolaos Vlastakis to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/fcessuk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.