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Natural resources and the underground economy: A cross-country study in ASEAN using Bayesianapproach

Author

Listed:
  • Thach Ngoc Nguyen

    (Ho Chi Minh University of Banking)

  • My Ha Tien Duong

    (Ho Chi Minh City Open University)

  • Diep Van Nguyen

    (Ho Chi Minh City Open University)

Abstract

The development of the underground economy can significantly affect a country’s economic indicators. Although there have been different studies on this phenomenon, many aspects of underground activities remain incompletely defined. Therefore, the current research aims to supplement the existing literature by analyzing the link between abundant natural resources and the scope of the underground economy. To accomplish this objective, we collected panel data from ten Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) countries during the period 1991–2018. We then employed the Bayesian regression estimator to look into the influence of natural resources wealth on the scope of the underground sector. We found that the former can negatively and strongly affect the latter in ASEAN countries. That is, natural resources might be a blessing rather than a curse for economic growth and development in these countries. Other variables were found to have a strong positive relationship with the underground economy, like trade openness, tax burden, size of government, corruption, and the global financial crisis. Meanwhile, GDP growth, urbanization, and political stability had a strong negative effect on the size of the underground economy. These findings provide some implications for the governments of ASEAN countries to perform appropriate measures to control the underground economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Thach Ngoc Nguyen & My Ha Tien Duong & Diep Van Nguyen, 2024. "Natural resources and the underground economy: A cross-country study in ASEAN using Bayesianapproach," E&M Economics and Management, Technical University of Liberec, Faculty of Economics, vol. 27(2), pages 1-15, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bbl:journl:v:27:y:2024:i:2:p:1-15
    DOI: 10.15240/tul/001/2024-2-001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Eduardo Acosta-Gonz�lez & Fernando Fern�ndez-Rodr�guez & Sim�n Sosvilla-Rivero, 2014. "An empirical examination of the determinants of the shadow economy," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 21(5), pages 304-307, March.
    2. Wang, Rong & Tan, Junlan & Yao, Shuangliang, 2021. "Are natural resources a blessing or a curse for economic development? The importance of energy innovations," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Capasso, Salvatore & Jappelli, Tullio, 2013. "Financial development and the underground economy," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 167-178.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • E26 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Informal Economy; Underground Economy
    • O13 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Agriculture; Natural Resources; Environment; Other Primary Products

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