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Analysing shock transmission in a data-rich environment: A large BVAR for New Zealand

We analyse a large Bayesian Vector Autoregression (BVAR) containing almost one hundred New Zealand macroeconomic time series. Methods for allowing multiple blocks of equations with block-specific Bayesian priors are described, and forecasting results show that our model compares favourably to a range of other time series models. Examining the impulse responses to a monetary policy shock and to two less conventional shocks – net migration and the climate – we highlight the usefulness of the large BVAR in analysing shock transmission.

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File URL: http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research_and_publications/discussion_papers/2008/dp08_09.pdf
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Paper provided by Reserve Bank of New Zealand in its series Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series with number DP2008/09.

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Length: 34 p.
Date of creation: May 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:2008/09
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  17. Ben S. Bernanke & Jean Boivin & Piotr Eliasz, 2004. "Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach," NBER Working Papers 10220, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  18. Andrew Coleman & John Landon-Lane, 2007. "Housing Markets and Migration in New Zealand, 1962-2006," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series DP2007/12, Reserve Bank of New Zealand.
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