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Growth Empirics in Panel Data under Model Uncertainty and Weak Exogeneity

  • Enrique Moral-Benito

    ()

    (Banco de España)

This paper considers panel growth regressions in the presence of model uncertainty and reverse causality concerns. For this purpose, my econometric framework combines Bayesian Model Averaging with a suitable likelihood function for dynamic panel models with weakly exogenous regressors and fixed effects. An application of this econometric methodology to a panel of countries over the 1960-2000 period indicates that there is no robust determinant of economic growth and that the rate of conditional convergence is indistinguishable from zero.

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File URL: http://www.bde.es/f/webbde/SES/Secciones/Publicaciones/PublicacionesSeriadas/DocumentosTrabajo/12/Fich/dt1243e.pdf
File Function: First version, December 2012
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Paper provided by Banco de Espa�a in its series Banco de Espa�a Working Papers with number 1243.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: Dec 2012
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:1243
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.bde.es/
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  1. Aitor Lacuesta & Sergio Puente & Ernesto Villanueva, 2011. "The schooling response to a sustained increase in low-skill wages: evidence from Spain 1989-2009," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 1208, Banco de Espa�a.
  2. Galo Nuño & Pedro Tedde & Alessio Moro, 2011. "Money dynamics with multiple banks of issue: evidence from Spain 1856-1874," Banco de Espa�a Working Papers 1119, Banco de Espa�a.
  3. Magnus, Jan R. & Powell, Owen & Prüfer, Patricia, 2010. "A comparison of two model averaging techniques with an application to growth empirics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 139-153, February.
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