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The FDI-Growth Nexus in Latin America : The Role of Source Countries and Local Conditions

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  • Prüfer, P.

    (Tilburg University, Center For Economic Research)

  • Tondl, G.

Abstract

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) has surged in Latin America (LA) since the mid 1990s. European and North American FDI is of capital importance. We investigate the FDI-growth nexus in LA allowing for different source countries, regional heterogeneity, more than 20 growth determinants, and interaction terms with FDI. We use Bayesian Model Averaging to address model uncertainty and to select the best models and most robust parameters. The principal finding is that a positive FDI-growth nexus in LA requires a functioning legal framework and macroeconomic stability. We also find that European FDI is only indirectly correlated with productivity growth, whereas North American FDI is more robust and, thus, directly correlated with productivity growth.
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Suggested Citation

  • Prüfer, P. & Tondl, G., 2008. "The FDI-Growth Nexus in Latin America : The Role of Source Countries and Local Conditions," Discussion Paper 2008-61, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiucen:73b28850-1597-4bcb-a76c-1475d89d5065
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    2. Alguacil, M. & Cuadros, A. & Orts, V., 2011. "Inward FDI and growth: The role of macroeconomic and institutional environment," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 481-496, May.
    3. Magnus, J.R. & Powell, O.R. & Prüfer, P., 2008. "A Comparison of Two Averaging Techniques with an Application to Growth Empirics," Discussion Paper 2008-39, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    4. Magnus, Jan R. & Powell, Owen & Prüfer, Patricia, 2010. "A comparison of two model averaging techniques with an application to growth empirics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 154(2), pages 139-153, February.
    5. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Gabriele Tondl, 2011. "Do determinants of FDI to developing countries differ among OECD investors? Insights from Bayesian Model Averaging," FIW Working Paper series 076, FIW.
    6. Gabriele Tondl & Jorge A. Fornero, 2010. "Sectoral productivity and spillover effects of FDI in Latin America," FIW Working Paper series 053, FIW.
    7. Yeboah Asuamah, Samuel, 2015. "Government activities and fossil fuel consumption in Ghana," MPRA Paper 89549, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 15 Aug 2018.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    FDI-growth nexus; model uncertainty; Bayesian Model Averaging; Latin America;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection
    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean

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