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The New Growth Theories and Their Empirics after Twenty Years

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  • Capolupo, Rosa

Abstract

In this work the author updates the reviews on endogenous growth theories in order to explore whether recent empirical studies have become more supportive of their main predictions. Among the core topics studied in the growth econometric framework, namely convergence, identification of growth determinants and factors responsible for growth differences in the data, the primary focus of this paper is on the last two. The author will review, from macro growth regressions, studies that test primarily the performance of endogenous models in terms of significance and robustness of the coefficients of growth determinants. By highlighting methodological issues and critical discussion, she argues that: (i) causal inference drawn from the empirical growth literature remains highly questionable, (ii) there are estimates for a wide range of potential factors but their magnitude and robustness are still under debate. Her conclusion, however, is that, if properly interpreted, the predictions of endogenous growth models are gathering increasing empirical support.

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  • Capolupo, Rosa, 2009. "The New Growth Theories and Their Empirics after Twenty Years," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW), vol. 3, pages 1-72.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifweej:7545
    DOI: 10.5018/economics-ejournal.ja.2009-1
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    Cited by:

    1. Benos, Nikos, 2009. "Fiscal policy and economic growth: empirical evidence from EU countries," MPRA Paper 19174, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Parantap Basu & Tooraj Jamasb, 2019. "On Green Growth with Sustainable Capital," Working Papers 2019_06, Durham University Business School.
    3. Laura Recuero Virto & Denis Couvet, 2017. "The impact of renewable versus non-renewable natural capital on economic growth," Working Papers 2017.15, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    4. Laura Recuero Virto & Denis Couvet & Frédéric Ducarme, 2018. "The determinants of economic growth in countries with high marine biodiversity," Working Papers 2018.03, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.
    5. M. Savioli & R. Patuelli, 2016. "Social capital, institutions and policymaking," Working Papers wp1070, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    6. Daniel Nepelski & Giuditta De Prato, 2020. "Technological complexity and economic development," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 448-470, May.
    7. Gómez Puig, Marta & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simón & Martínez-Zarzoso, Inmaculada, 2019. "Re-examining the debt-growth nexus: A grouped fixed-effect approach," Center for European, Governance and Economic Development Research Discussion Papers 374, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    8. Antonio Ruiz Porras, 2016. "La investigación econométrica mediante paneles de datos:historia, modelos y usos en México," Archivos Revista Economía y Política., Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Administrativas, Universidad de Cuenca., vol. 24, pages 11-32, Julio.
    9. Daniele Schilirò, 2019. "The Growth Conundrum: Paul Romer’s Endogenous Growth," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 12(10), pages 75-85, October.
    10. Farid Gasmi & Laura Recuero Virto & Denis Couvet, 2020. "The Impact of Renewable Versus Non-renewable Natural Capital on Economic Growth," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 77(2), pages 271-333, October.
    11. Richardson Kojo Edeme & ThankGod Chibuzor Onoja & Dateer Dayi Damulak, 2018. "Attaining Sustainable Growth in Nigeria: Any Role for Solid Mineral Development?," Academic Journal of Economic Studies, Faculty of Finance, Banking and Accountancy Bucharest,"Dimitrie Cantemir" Christian University Bucharest, vol. 4(1), pages 105-110, March.
    12. Mamonov, M. & Pestova, A., 2015. "The Technical Efficiency of National Economies: Do the Institutions, Infrastructure and Resources Rents Matter?," Journal of the New Economic Association, New Economic Association, vol. 27(3), pages 44-78.
    13. Laura Recuero Virto & Denis Couvet, 2018. "Economic growth determinants in countries with blue carbon: Natural capital as a limiting factor ?," Working Papers 2018.06, FAERE - French Association of Environmental and Resource Economists.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Endogenous growth; growth regressions; convergence;

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • C31 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models; Quantile Regressions; Social Interaction Models

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