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Chronic deflation in Japan

In: Globalisation and inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific

Author

Listed:
  • Kenji Nishizaki

    (Bank of Japan)

  • Toshitaka Sekine

    (Bank of Japan)

  • Yuichi Ueno

    (Bank of Japan)

  • Yuko Kawai

    (Bank of Japan)

Abstract

type="main"> Japan has suffered from a long-lasting but mild deflation since the latter half of the 1990s. Estimates of a standard Phillips curve indicate that a decline in inflation expectations, the negative output gap, and other factors such as a decline in import prices and a higher exchange rate all account for some of this development. These factors, in turn, reflect various underlying structural features of the Japanese economy. This paper examines a long list of these structural features that may explain Japan's chronic deflation, including the zero lower bound on the nominal interest rate, public attitudes toward the price level, central bank communication, weaker growth expectations coupled with declining potential growth or the lower natural rate of interest, risk-averse banking behavior, deregulation, and the rise of emerging economies.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Kenji Nishizaki & Toshitaka Sekine & Yuichi Ueno & Yuko Kawai, 2013. "Chronic deflation in Japan," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Globalisation and inflation dynamics in Asia and the Pacific, volume 70, pages 9-19, Bank for International Settlements.
  • Handle: RePEc:bis:bisbpc:70-03
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    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Pourquoi le Japon a-t-il basculé dans la déflation ?
      by ? in D'un champ l'autre on 2014-01-29 02:38:00

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    3. Philip Coyle & Taisuke Nakata, 2019. "Optimal Inflation Target with Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2019-036, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    5. Tatsushi Okuday & Tomohiro Tsurugaz & Francesco Zanetti, 2019. "Imperfect Information, Shock Heterogeneity, and Inflation Dynamics," BCAM Working Papers 1906, Birkbeck Centre for Applied Macroeconomics.
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    7. Andrew Levin, 2014. "Comment on “Chronic Deflation in Japan”," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 9(1), pages 42-43, January.
    8. Philip Coyle & Taisuke Nakata, 2020. "Optimal Inflation Target with Expectations-Driven Liquidity Traps," CARF F-Series CARF-F-485, Center for Advanced Research in Finance, Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo.
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    11. Fukuda, Shin-ichi & Soma, Naoto, 2019. "Inflation target and anchor of inflation forecasts in Japan," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 154-170.
    12. Takatoshi Ito & Kazumasa Iwata & Colin McKenzie & Shujiro Urata & Tsutomu Watanabe, 2014. "Japan's Persistent Deflation and Monetary Policy: Editors' Overview," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 9(1), pages 1-19, January.
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    15. Mahito Uchida, 2014. "Towards the end of deflation in Japan ?," Post-Print hal-03627437, HAL.
    16. Takatoshi Ito, 2021. "An Assessment of Abenomics: Evolution and Achievements," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 16(2), pages 190-219, July.
    17. Mahito Uchida, 2014. "Towards the end of deflation in Japan ?: Monetary policy under abenomics and the role of the central bank," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/7fp8n6moep8, Sciences Po.
    18. Yoshihiko Hogen & Ryoichi Okuma, 2018. "The Anchoring of Inflation Expectations in Japan: A Learning-Approach Perspective," Bank of Japan Working Paper Series 18-E-8, Bank of Japan.
    19. P. Gajewski, 2015. "Is ageing deflationary? Some evidence from OECD countries," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(11), pages 916-919, July.
    20. Ikizlerli, Deniz & Holmes, Phil & Anderson, Keith, 2019. "The response of different investor types to macroeconomic news," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 13-28.
    21. Fructuoso Borrallo Egea & Pedro del Río López, 2021. "Monetary policy strategy and inflation in Japan," Occasional Papers 2116, Banco de España.
    22. Murota, Ryu-ichiro & Ono, Yoshiyasu, 2015. "Fiscal policy under deflationary gap and long-run stagnation: Reinterpretation of Keynesian multipliers," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 596-603.
    23. Ryu‐ichiro Murota, 2018. "Aggregate demand deficiency, labor unions, and long‐run stagnation," Metroeconomica, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(4), pages 868-888, November.
    24. WARBURTON, Christopher E.S., 2021. "Secular Stagnation And The Negative Interest Rate Conundrum: International Analysis Of The Period 2010-2019," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 21(1), pages 19-36.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • O53 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East

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