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Bayesian Option Pricing Using Asymmetric GARCH

Author

Listed:
  • Bauwens, L.
  • Lubrano, M.

Abstract

This paper shows how one can compute option prices from a Bayesian inference viewpoint, using an econometric model for the dynamics of the return and of the volatility of the underlying asset. The proposed evaluation of an option is the predictive expectation of its payoff function. The predictive distribution of this function provides a natural metric with respect to which the predictive option price, or other option evaluations, can be gauged.

Suggested Citation

  • Bauwens, L. & Lubrano, M., 1997. "Bayesian Option Pricing Using Asymmetric GARCH," G.R.E.Q.A.M. 97a40, Universite Aix-Marseille III.
    • Handle: RePEc:fth:aixmeq:97a40
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    Cited by:

    1. Lanne, Markku & Luoto, Jani, 2008. "Robustness of the risk-return relationship in the U.S. stock market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 118-127, June.
    2. HAFNER, Christian & HERWARTZ, Helmut, 1998. "Volatility impulse response functions for multivariate GARCH models," CORE Discussion Papers 1998047, Université catholique de Louvain, Center for Operations Research and Econometrics (CORE).
    3. Abel Rodríguez & Enrique ter Horst & Samuel Malone, 2015. "Bayesian Inference for a Structural Credit Risk Model with Stochastic Volatility and Stochastic Interest Rates," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, vol. 13(4), pages 839-867.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    PRICING ; SIMULATION;

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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