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Fiscal policy and the Great Recession in the euro area

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  • Coenen, Gunter
  • Straub, Roland
  • Trabandt, Mathias

Abstract

How much did fiscal policy contribute to euro area real GDP growth during the Great Recession? We estimate that discretionary fiscal measures have increased annualized quarterly real GDP growth during the crisis by up to 1.6 percentage points. We obtain our result by using an extended version of the European Central Bank’s New Area- Wide Model with a rich specification of the fiscal sector. A detailed modeling of the fiscal sector and the incorporation of as many as eight fiscal time series appear pivotal for our result.

Suggested Citation

  • Coenen, Gunter & Straub, Roland & Trabandt, Mathias, 2011. "Fiscal policy and the Great Recession in the euro area," MPRA Paper 76688, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:76688
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal policy; DSGE modelling; Bayesian inference; euro area;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy

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