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Investment-specific shocks and real business cycles in emerging economies: Evidence from Brazil


  • Araújo, Eurilton


This paper investigates the role of the RBC (Real Business Cycle) model with investment-specific technology shocks in explaining business cycle fluctuations in Brazil. I consider the role of transitory and permanent components of neutral and investment-specific technology shocks. I fit the model to the data using Bayesian techniques to show that the investment-specific shocks are important sources of fluctuations in the estimated model. In fact, in the context of the model, investment-specific shocks can account for remarkable percentages of fluctuations in consumption growth, GDP growth, investment growth and trade balance to GDP ratio. Furthermore, I present simulation evidence showing that the RBC model cannot account for some important features of the data.

Suggested Citation

  • Araújo, Eurilton, 2012. "Investment-specific shocks and real business cycles in emerging economies: Evidence from Brazil," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 671-678.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:29:y:2012:i:3:p:671-678 DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2012.01.009

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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Taştan, Hüseyin, 2013. "Real business cycles in emerging economies: Turkish case," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 106-113.
    2. Hüseyin Taştan & Bekir Aşık, 2014. "A Bayesian Estimation of Real Business-Cycle Models for the Turkish Economy," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 27-50, May.

    More about this item


    Investment-specific shocks; Business cycles; Brazil; Fluctuations; DSGE models;

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics


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