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Welfare gains of the poor: An endogenous Bayesian approach with spatial random effects

Author

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  • Andr´es Ramírez Hassan
  • Santiago Montoya Blandón

Abstract

We introduce a Bayesian instrumental variable procedure with spatial random effects that handles endogeneity, and spatial dependence with unobserved heterogeneity. We find through a limited Monte Carlo experiment that our proposal works well in terms of point estimates and prediction. Then, we apply our method to analyze the welfare effects on the poorest households generated by a process of electricity tariff unification. In particular, we deduce an Equivalent Variation measure where there is a budget constraint for a two-tiered pricing scheme, and find that 10% of the poorest municipalities attained welfare gains above 2% of their initial income.

Suggested Citation

  • Andr´es Ramírez Hassan & Santiago Montoya Blandón, 2015. "Welfare gains of the poor: An endogenous Bayesian approach with spatial random effects," Documentos de Trabajo de Valor Público 13678, Universidad EAFIT.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000122:013678
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    File URL: https://repository.eafit.edu.co/handle/10784/7348#.VetGYp1Vikq
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    Cited by:

    1. Andrés Ramírez–Hassan & Rosember Guerra–Urzola, 2021. "Bayesian treatment effects due to a subsidized health program: the case of preventive health care utilization in Medellín (Colombia)," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1477-1506, March.
    2. Andr'es Ram'irez-Hassan & Alejandro L'opez-Vera, 2021. "Semi-parametric estimation of the EASI model: Welfare implications of taxes identifying clusters due to unobserved preference heterogeneity," Papers 2109.07646, arXiv.org.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bayesian Estimation; Endogeneity; Instruments; Simultaneous Equations; Spatial Random Effects; Welfare Analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • D11 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Theory
    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • D60 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - General

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