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The Impact of Central Bank FX Interventions on Currency Components

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  • Michel Beine
  • Charles S. Bos
  • Sébastien Laurent

Abstract

This article assesses the impact of official FOREX interventions of the three major central banks in terms of the dynamics of the currency components of the major exchange rates over the period 1989--2003. We identify the currency components of the mean and volatility processes of exchange rates using the framework developed recently by Bos and Shephard (2006). Our results show that, in general, concerted interventions tend to affect the dynamics of both currency components of the exchange rate. In contrast, unilateral interventions are found to primarily affect the currency of the central bank present in the market. Our findings also emphasize a role for interventions conducted by these central banks on other related FOREX markets. Copyright 2007, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Michel Beine & Charles S. Bos & Sébastien Laurent, 2007. "The Impact of Central Bank FX Interventions on Currency Components," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 154-183.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:jfinec:v:5:y:2007:i:1:p:154-183
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/jjfinec/nbl008
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    Cited by:

    1. Beine, Michel & Bos, Charles S. & Coulombe, Serge, 2012. "Does the Canadian economy suffer from Dutch disease?," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 468-492.
    2. Costantini, Mauro & Cuaresma, Jesus Crespo & Hlouskova, Jaroslava, 2014. "Can Macroeconomists Get Rich Forecasting Exchange Rates?," Economics Series 305, Institute for Advanced Studies.
    3. Christopher J. Neely, 2005. "An analysis of recent studies of the effect of foreign exchange intervention," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 87(Nov), pages 685-718.
    4. Holmes, Mark J. & Iregui, Ana María & Otero, Jesús, 2021. "The effects of FX-interventions on forecasters disagreement: A mixed data sampling view," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
    5. Neely, Christopher J., 2008. "Central bank authorities' beliefs about foreign exchange intervention," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 1-25, February.
    6. Lasha Kavtaradze & Manouchehr Mokhtari, 2018. "Factor Models And Time†Varying Parameter Framework For Forecasting Exchange Rates And Inflation: A Survey," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(2), pages 302-334, April.
    7. Georgios Chortareas & Ying Jiang & John C. Nankervis, 2013. "Volatility and Spillover Effects of Yen Interventions," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 671-689, September.
    8. Tolga Caskurlu & Mustafa C. Pinar & Aslihan Salih & Ferhan Salman, 2008. "Can Central Bank Interventions Affect the Exchange Rate Volatility? Multivariate GARCH Approach Using Constrained Nonlinear Programming," Working Papers 0806, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    9. Kunze, Frederik, 2017. "Predicting exchange rates in Asia: New insights on the accuracy of survey forecasts," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 326, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.
    10. Kazım Berk Küçüklerli & Veysel Ulusoy, 2024. "Sentiment-Driven Exchange Rate Forecasting: Integrating Twitter Analysis with Economic Indicators," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 14(3), pages 1-4.
    11. Charles S. Bos, 2008. "Model-based Estimation of High Frequency Jump Diffusions with Microstructure Noise and Stochastic Volatility," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 08-011/4, Tinbergen Institute.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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