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Intraday Dynamics of Volatility and Duration: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Market

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  • Chun Liu
  • John M Maheu

Abstract

We propose a new joint model of intraday returns and durations to study the dynamics of several Chinese stocks. We include IBM from the U.S. market for comparison purposes. Flexible innovation distributions are used for durations and returns, and the total variance of returns is decomposed into different volatility components associated with different transaction horizons. Our new model strongly dominates existing specifications in the literature. The conditional hazard functions are non-monotonic and there is strong evidence for different volatility components. Although diurnal patterns, volatility components, and market microstructure implications are similar across the markets, there are interesting differences. Durations for lightly traded Chinese stocks tend to carry more information than heavily traded stocks. Chinese investors usually have longer investment horizons, which may be explained by the specific trading rules in China.

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Paper provided by University of Toronto, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number tecipa-401.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: 06 Apr 2010
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:tor:tecipa:tecipa-401
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Keywords: market microstructure; transaction horizon; high-frequency data; ACD; GARCH;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

  • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
  • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
  • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
  • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

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