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L'Agriculture, Facteur De Vulnérabilité Des Petites Économies Insulaires ?

Listed author(s):
  • Valérie ANGEON

    ()

    (AgroParisTech-UMR Métafort; INRA-URZ and French West Indies University-CRPLC)

  • Samuel BATES

    ()

    (Université Paris-Dauphine, PSL Research University)

La vulnérabilité des petites économies insulaires (PEI) a fait l’objet d’analyses approfondies depuis les années 1970. Le poids du secteur agricole est notamment décrit comme un facteur intrinsèque de leur vulnérabilité. Afin de tester cette assertion, nous avons élaboré un indicateur composite de vulnérabilité agricole (AVI) basé sur le poids de l’agriculture dans la structure des exportations, la dépendance extérieure, la valeur ajoutée et l’emploi. Sur un échantillon de pays incluant des PEI, des pays développés, des pays à revenu intermédiaire et des pays en développement, nous mettons en relation l’AVI avec un indicateur macroéconomique et multimétrique de vulnérabilité et de résilience : le Net Vulnerability-Resilience Index (NVRI). Nous montrons qu’il n’y a pas de déterminisme entre poids du secteur agricole et vulnérabilité ma-croéconomique. Nos résultats inclinent à penser qu'en matière de politique économique, pour renforcer la macro-résilience d'un pays, la priorité doit porter sur les conditions de production plutôt que sur une réduction hâtive du poids du secteur agricole.

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File URL: http://region-developpement.univ-tln.fr/fr/pdf/R42/06_Angeon_Bates.pdf
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Article provided by Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var in its journal Région et Développement.

Volume (Year): 42 (2015)
Issue (Month): ()
Pages: 105-131

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Handle: RePEc:tou:journl:v:42:y:2015:p:105-131
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  1. Kaplinsky, Raphael, 2006. "Revisiting the revisited terms of trade: Will China make a difference?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 34(6), pages 981-995, June.
  2. William Easterly & Ross Levine, 2002. "Tropics, Germs, and Crops: How Endowments Influence Economic Development," NBER Working Papers 9106, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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  8. Samuel Bates & Valérie Angeon & Ahmed Ainouche, 2014. "The pentagon of vulnerability and resilience: A methodological proposal in development economics by using graph theory," Post-Print hal-01291338, HAL.
  9. R. Brau & A. Lanza & F. Pigliaru, 2003. "How fast are tourism countries growing? The cross country evidence," Working Paper CRENoS 200309, Centre for North South Economic Research, University of Cagliari and Sassari, Sardinia.
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  12. Samuel Bates & Valérie Angeon, 2015. "Reviewing Composite Vulnerability and Resilience Indexes: A Sustainable Approach and Application," Post-Print hal-01291345, HAL.
  13. Rosario Turvey, 2007. "Vulnerability Assessment of Developing Countries: The Case of Small-island Developing States," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 25(2), pages 243-264, 03.
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  17. Guillaumont, Patrick, 1987. "From export instability effects to international stabilization policies," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 633-643, May.
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