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The pentagon of vulnerability and resilience: A methodological proposal in development economics by using graph theory

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  • Samuel Bates

    (LEDa - Laboratoire d'Economie de Dauphine - IRD - Institut de Recherche pour le Développement - Université Paris Dauphine-PSL - PSL - Université Paris Sciences et Lettres - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Valérie Angeon

    (CEREGMIA - Centre de Recherche en Economie, Gestion, Modélisation et Informatique Appliquée - UAG - Université des Antilles et de la Guyane)

  • Ahmed Ainouche

    (CEREGMIA - Centre de Recherche en Economie, Gestion, Modélisation et Informatique Appliquée - UAG - Université des Antilles et de la Guyane)

Abstract

Several assessments of vulnerability and resilience have been attempted at a country level through composite indices but they are barely in accord with a holistic view of sustainable development. We suggest graph theory to structure a network of variables that depict vulnerability and resilience from a sustainable development perspective. Vulnerability is defined as the propensity to incur adverse shocks whereas resilience is the capacity to cope with their negative effects. We identify two control dimensions of vulnerability–resilience (economic and political) and three contingency factors (the social, environmental and the peripheral dimensions). The specificity of the control dimensions is rooted in their impact on all other sides of the pentagon. We propose an algorithm to select the key variables useful in building a composite index that conforms to the structure of these five dimensions while preventing loss of information. An application is provided on Singapore, which has been specified as a typical case of resilience.

Suggested Citation

  • Samuel Bates & Valérie Angeon & Ahmed Ainouche, 2014. "The pentagon of vulnerability and resilience: A methodological proposal in development economics by using graph theory," Post-Print hal-01291338, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01291338
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Angeon, Valérie & Bates, Samuel, 2015. "Reviewing Composite Vulnerability and Resilience Indexes: A Sustainable Approach and Application," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 140-162.
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    6. Luis Hernando Portillo-Riascos & Edinson Ortiz-Benavides, 2021. "The External Vulnerability of the Colombian Economy 1990-2015: A Comparative Analysis," Lecturas de Economía, Universidad de Antioquia, Departamento de Economía, issue 94, pages 11-46, Enero-Jun.
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    8. Samuel BATES & Valérie ANGEON, 2015. "Promoting The Sustainable Development Of Small Island Developing States: Insights From Vulnerability And Resilience Analysis," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 42, pages 15-29.
    9. Claire Goavec & Jean-François Hoarau, 2015. "Structural economic vulnerability and tourism dependence: new assessment for small island developing economies [Vulnérabilité économique structurelle et dépendance touristique : quels enseignements," Post-Print hal-01454720, HAL.
    10. Riffat Mahmood & Li Zhang & Guoqing Li & Munshi Khaledur Rahman, 2022. "Geo-based model of intrinsic resilience to climate change: an approach to nature-based solution," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(10), pages 11969-11990, October.
    11. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Soklis, George & Michaelides, Panayotis G., 2017. "Tourism expenditures and crisis transmission: A general equilibrium GVAR analysis with network theory," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 74-94.
    12. Alejandro Cleves & Eva Youkhana & Javier Toro, 2022. "A Method to Assess Agroecosystem Resilience to Climate Variability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-26, July.
    13. Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Tsionas, Efthymios G. & Konstantakis, Konstantinos N., 2018. "Debt dynamics in Europe: A Network General Equilibrium GVAR approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 175-202.
    14. Jose Cuesta & Liang Cai & Lucia Madrigal & Natalia Pecorari, 2023. "Exposure to Climatic Risks and Social Sustainability in Vietnam," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-25, February.
    15. Sandra Martínez Molina & Elisa Valía Cotanda & Jorge Garcés Ferrer, 2016. "Labour Resilience and Vulnerable Groups in Times of Crisis: A Comparative Study in Eleven European Countries," European Journal of Economics and Business Studies Articles, Revistia Research and Publishing, vol. 2, September.
    16. Valérie ANGEON & Jean-François HOARAU, 2015. "Introduction - Les Petites Économies Insulaires : Un Monde À Part Entière ?," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 42, pages 5-13.
    17. Kyriakos Drivas & Claire Economidou & Konstantinos N. Konstantakis & Panayotis G. Michaelides, 2022. "Technological Leaders, Laggards and Spillovers: A Network GVAR Analysis," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 231-269, April.
    18. Valérie ANGEON & Samuel BATES, 2015. "L'Agriculture, Facteur De Vulnérabilité Des Petites Économies Insulaires ?," Region et Developpement, Region et Developpement, LEAD, Universite du Sud - Toulon Var, vol. 42, pages 105-131.
    19. Sepehr Marzi & Jaroslav Mysiak & Arthur H Essenfelder & Mattia Amadio & Silvio Giove & Alexander Fekete, 2019. "Constructing a comprehensive disaster resilience index: The case of Italy," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(9), pages 1-23, September.
    20. Hong, Wei-Ting & Clifton, Geoffrey & Nelson, John D., 2022. "Rail transport system vulnerability analysis and policy implementation: Past progress and future directions," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 299-308.
    21. Ibrahim Ngouhouo & Tii Njivukuh Nchofoung, 2022. "Economic Resilience in Sub-Saharan Africa: Evidence from Composite Indicators," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(1), pages 70-91, March.

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