IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/kap/jfamec/v41y2020i3d10.1007_s10834-020-09683-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Financial Fragility of Pakistani Household

Author

Listed:
  • Liaqat Ali

    (Hamdard University)

  • Muhammad Kamran Naqi Khan

    (Hamdard University)

  • Habib Ahmad

    (Hamdard University)

Abstract

We analyzed the financial fragility of Pakistani households using data from the Household Integrated Economic Survey (HIES) 2015–2016 through financial burden indicators, financial margin, and credit risk indicators. We contribute to the literature by applying a modified measure of loss given default based on household valuables besides traditional components of real estate and financial wealth. We also conducted stress tests of households aiming at the assessment of their sensitivity to different types of adverse shocks and observe large heterogeneity across various household characteristics in the impact of these shocks. Although financial burden indicators provided mixed results, our credit risk indicators identified financially vulnerable households as those with no formal education, headed by currently married males, without knowledge of information, communication, and telecommunication, and engaged in agriculture as the most financially vulnerable. These households held most of the debt at risk and posed serious threats to financial stability and hence should be given special attention from the viewpoint of stability of the financial system. In contrast, we found households with graduates and above the level of education, employers, having knowledge of information, communication, and telecommunication and employed in the government services to be most resilient. Finally, we analyzed the potential determinants of various measures of household financial vulnerability and found education, employment status, and industry of employment of head of the household as the main determinants of financial vulnerability in Pakistan. We propose a combination of credit risk and financial burden indicators for an assessment of the financial conditions of households instead of solely relying on financial burden indicators.

Suggested Citation

  • Liaqat Ali & Muhammad Kamran Naqi Khan & Habib Ahmad, 2020. "Financial Fragility of Pakistani Household," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 572-590, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:kap:jfamec:v:41:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s10834-020-09683-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10834-020-09683-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10834-020-09683-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10834-020-09683-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bates, Samuel & Angeon, Valérie & Ainouche, Ahmed, 2014. "The pentagon of vulnerability and resilience: A methodological proposal in development economics by using graph theory," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 445-453.
    2. Ramdane Djoudad, 2011. "A framework to assess vulnerabilities arising from household indebtedness using microdata," IFC Bulletins chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Initiatives to address data gaps revealed by the financial crisis", Basel, 25-26 August 2010, volume 34, pages 151-168, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Xu, Yilan & Briley, Daniel A. & Brown, Jeffrey R. & Roberts, Brent W., 2017. "Genetic and environmental influences on household financial distress," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 404-424.
    4. Marianna Brunetti & Elena Giarda & Costanza Torricelli, 2016. "Is Financial Fragility a Matter of Illiquidity? An Appraisal for Italian Households," Review of Income and Wealth, International Association for Research in Income and Wealth, vol. 62(4), pages 628-649, December.
    5. Piotr Bialowolski & Dorota Weziak-Bialowolska, 2014. "Erratum to: The Index of Household Financial Condition, Combining Subjective and Objective Indicators: An Appraisal of Italian Households," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 118(1), pages 387-387, August.
    6. Pirmin Fessler & Emanuel List & Teresa Messner, 2017. "How financially vulnerable are CESEE households? An Austrian perspective on its neighbors," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 2, pages 58-79.
    7. Giarda, Elena, 2013. "Persistency of financial distress amongst Italian households: Evidence from dynamic models for binary panel data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3425-3434.
    8. repec:dau:papers:123456789/13926 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Piotr Bialowolski & Dorota Weziak-Bialowolska, 2014. "The Index of Household Financial Condition, Combining Subjective and Objective Indicators: An Appraisal of Italian Households," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 118(1), pages 365-385, August.
    10. Shubhasis Dey & Ramdane Djoudad & Yaz Terajima, 2008. "A Tool for Assessing Financial Vulnerabilities in the Household Sector," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2008(Summer), pages 47-56.
    11. Oliver Röhn & Aida Caldera Sánchez & Mikkel Hermansen & Morten Rasmussen, 2015. "Economic resilience: A new set of vulnerability indicators for OECD countries," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1249, OECD Publishing.
    12. Daniela Vandone, 2009. "Consumer Credit in Europe," Contributions to Economics, Springer, number 978-3-7908-2101-7.
    13. Giordana, Gastón & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2020. "Stress testing household balance sheets in Luxembourg," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 115-138.
    14. Wajiha Haq & Noor Azina Ismail & NurulHuda Mohd Satar, 2018. "Household debt in different age cohorts: A multilevel study," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(1), pages 1455406-145, January.
    15. Peter N. Mba & Emmanuel O. Nwosu & Anthony Orji, 2018. "An Empirical Analysis of Vulnerability to Poverty in Nigeria: Do Household and Regional Characteristics Matter?," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 8(4), pages 271-276.
    16. Tullio Jappelli & Marco Pagano & Marco Di Maggio, 2013. "Households' indebtedness and financial fragility," Journal of Financial Management, Markets and Institutions, Società editrice il Mulino, issue 1, pages 23-46, January.
    17. Simon Feeny & Lachlan McDonald, 2016. "Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty: Findings from Households in Melanesia," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(3), pages 447-464, March.
    18. Muhammad Masood Azeem & Amin W. Mugera & Steven Schilizzi & Kadambot H. M. Siddique, 2017. "An Assessment of Vulnerability to Poverty in Punjab, Pakistan: Subjective Choices of Poverty Indicators," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 134(1), pages 117-152, October.
    19. Muhammad Masood Azeem & Amin W. Mugera & Steven Schilizzi, 2019. "Do Social Protection Transfers Reduce Poverty and Vulnerability to Poverty in Pakistan? Household Level Evidence from Punjab," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(8), pages 1757-1783, August.
    20. Ashfaq Ahmad Shah & Jingzhong Ye & Muhammad Abid & Jahangir Khan & Syed Muhammad Amir, 2018. "Flood hazards: household vulnerability and resilience in disaster-prone districts of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 93(1), pages 147-165, August.
    21. Nicolas Albacete & Pirmin Fessler, 2010. "Stress Testing Austrian Households," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 19, pages 72-91.
    22. Angeon, Valérie & Bates, Samuel, 2015. "Reviewing Composite Vulnerability and Resilience Indexes: A Sustainable Approach and Application," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 140-162.
    23. Ampudia, Miguel & van Vlokhoven, Has & Żochowski, Dawid, 2016. "Financial fragility of euro area households," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 250-262.
    24. Valentina Michelangeli & Mario Pietrunti, 2014. "A Microsimulation Model to evaluate Italian Households Financial Vulnerability," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 7(3), pages 53-79.
    25. Paxton, Julia & Young, Lauren, 2011. "Liquidity Profiles of Poor Mexican Households," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(4), pages 600-610, April.
    26. Arlyana Abubakar & Rieska Indah Astuti & Rini Oktapiani, 2018. "The Analysis Of Risk Profile And Financial Vulnerability Of Households In Indonesia," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 20(4), pages 1-32, April.
    27. Inayat Ullah & Madiha Khan, 2017. "Microfinance as a tool for developing resilience in vulnerable communities," Journal of Enterprising Communities: People and Places in the Global Economy, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 11(2), pages 237-257, May.
    28. Adeeba Ishaq & Mahmood Khalid & Eatzaz Ahmad, 2018. "Food Insecurity in Pakistan: A RegionWise Analysis of Trends," PIDE-Working Papers 2018:157, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    29. Mindaugas Leika & Daniela Marchettini, 2017. "A Generalized Framework for the Assessment of Household Financial Vulnerability," IMF Working Papers 2017/228, International Monetary Fund.
    30. Muhammad Masood Azeem & Amin W. Mugera & Steven Schilizzi, 2018. "Vulnerability to Multi-Dimensional Poverty: An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Measurement Approaches," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 54(9), pages 1612-1636, September.
    31. Alessandra Bettocchi & Elena Giarda & Cristiana Moriconi & Federica Orsini & Rita Romeo, 2018. "Assessing and predicting financial vulnerability of Italian households: a micro-macro approach," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(3), pages 587-605, August.
    32. Chichaibelu, Bezawit Beyene & Waibel, Hermann, 2018. "Over-indebtedness and its persistence in rural households in Thailand and Vietnam," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-23.
    33. Mattias Persson, 2009. "Household indebtedness in Sweden and implications for financial stability – the use of household-level data," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Household debt: implications for monetary policy and financial stability, volume 46, pages 124-135, Bank for International Settlements.
    34. Siti Nurazira Mohd Daud & Ainulashikin Marzuki & Nursilah Ahmad & Zurina Kefeli, 2019. "Financial Vulnerability and Its Determinants: Survey Evidence from Malaysian Households," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(9), pages 1991-2003, July.
    35. Sugawara, Naotaka & Zalduendo, Juan, 2011. "Stress-testing croatian households with debt -- implications for financial stability," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5906, The World Bank.
    36. Mikus Arins & Nadezda Sinenko & Laura Laube, 2014. "Survey-Based Assessment of Household Borrowers' Financial Vulnerability," Discussion Papers 2014/01, Latvijas Banka.
    37. Brown, Sarah & Ghosh, Pulak & Taylor, Karl, 2014. "The existence and persistence of household financial hardship: A Bayesian multivariate dynamic logit framework," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 285-298.
    38. Marco Modica & Aura Reggiani & Peter Nijkamp, 2018. "Vulnerability, resilience and exposure: methodological aspects and an empirical applications to shocks," SEEDS Working Papers 1318, SEEDS, Sustainability Environmental Economics and Dynamics Studies, revised Nov 2018.
    39. Azeem, Muhammad Masood & Mugera, Amin W. & Schilizzi, Steven, 2016. "Poverty and vulnerability in the Punjab, Pakistan: A multilevel analysis," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 57-72.
    40. Povel, Felix, 2015. "Measuring Exposure to Downside Risk with an Application to Thailand and Vietnam," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 4-24.
    41. Tom Bilston & Robert Johnson & Matthew Read, 2015. "Stress Testing the Australian Household Sector Using the HILDA Survey," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2015-01, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    42. Kochar, Anjini, 1995. "Explaining Household Vulnerability to Idiosyncratic Income Shocks," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(2), pages 159-164, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Sara Fernández-López & Marcos à lvarez-Espiño & Lucía Rey-Ares, 2023. "A Comprehensive Approach to Measuring Financial Vulnerability and Literacy: Unveiling Connections," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(4), pages 21582440231, November.
    2. Dang, Chao & Chen, Xinyang & Yu, Shengjie & Chen, Rongda & Yang, Yifan, 2022. "Credit ratings of Chinese households using factor scores and K-means clustering method," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 309-320.
    3. Lei He & Shuyi Zhou, 2022. "Household Financial Vulnerability to Income and Medical Expenditure Shocks: Measurement and Determinants," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-17, April.
    4. Ján Buleca & Nikola Šubová & Lenka Malièká, 2022. "The Relationship between Household Wealth and Financial Vulnerability in the Post-communist Countries of the Euro Area," Journal of Economics / Ekonomicky casopis, Institute of Economic Research, Slovak Academy of Sciences, vol. 70(7-8), pages 569-588, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liaqat Ali & Muhammad Kamran Naqi Khan & Habib Ahmad, 2020. "Education of the Head and Financial Vulnerability of Households: Evidence from a Household’s Survey Data in Pakistan," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(2), pages 439-463, January.
    2. Grzegorz Wałęga & Agnieszka Wałęga, 2021. "Over-indebted Households in Poland: Classification Tree Analysis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 153(2), pages 561-584, January.
    3. Giordana, Gastón & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2020. "Stress testing household balance sheets in Luxembourg," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 115-138.
    4. Aleksandra Riedl, 2021. "Are CESEE borrowers at risk? COVID-19 implications in a stress test analysis," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/21, pages 37-53.
    5. Kirsten Abela & Ilias Georgakopoulus, 2022. "A stress testing framework for the Maltese household sector," CBM Working Papers WP/04/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
    6. Alessandra Bettocchi & Elena Giarda & Cristiana Moriconi & Federica Orsini & Rita Romeo, 2018. "Assessing and predicting financial vulnerability of Italian households: a micro-macro approach," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(3), pages 587-605, August.
    7. Hosung Jung & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020. "Default Probability by Employment Status in South Korea," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 19(3), pages 62-84, Fall.
    8. Marco Brandolini & Federica Coroneo & Elena Giarda & Cristiana Moriconi & Sarah Grace See, 2022. "Differences in Perceptions of the Housing Cost Burden Among European Countries," Journal of Applied Finance & Banking, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 12(4), pages 1-5.
    9. Gan-Ochir Doojav & Ariun-Erdene Bayarjargal, 2017. "Stress testing the household sector in Mongolia," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 24(2), pages 23-52, December.
    10. Dang, Chao & Chen, Xinyang & Yu, Shengjie & Chen, Rongda & Yang, Yifan, 2022. "Credit ratings of Chinese households using factor scores and K-means clustering method," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 309-320.
    11. Barasinska, Nataliya & Ludwig, Johannes & Vogel, Edgar, 2021. "The impact of borrower-based instruments on household vulnerability in Germany," Discussion Papers 20/2021, Deutsche Bundesbank.
    12. Piotr Bialowolski & Dorota Weziak-Bialowolska, 2014. "The Index of Household Financial Condition, Combining Subjective and Objective Indicators: An Appraisal of Italian Households," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 118(1), pages 365-385, August.
    13. Jaanika Meriküll & Tairi Rõõm, 2020. "Stress Tests of the Household Sector Using Microdata from Survey and Administrative Sources," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(2), pages 203-248, March.
    14. Gaston Giordana & Michael Ziegelmeyer, 2024. "Using household-level data to guide borrower-based macro-prudential policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 785-827, February.
    15. Jhon Edwar Hernández & Blanca Zuluaga, 2022. "Vulnerability to Multidimensional Poverty: An Application to Colombian Households," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 164(1), pages 345-371, November.
    16. Marianna Brunetti & Elena Giarda & Costanza Torricelli, 2020. "Financial Fragility across Europe and the US: The Role of Portfolio Choices, Household Features and Economic-institutional Setup," CEIS Research Paper 487, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 28 May 2020.
    17. Lei He & Shuyi Zhou, 2022. "Household Financial Vulnerability to Income and Medical Expenditure Shocks: Measurement and Determinants," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(8), pages 1-17, April.
    18. Nataliya Barasinska & Philipp Haenle & Anne Koban & Alexander Schmidt, 2023. "No Reason to Worry About German Mortgages? An Analysis of Macroeconomic and Individual Drivers of Credit Risk," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 64(3), pages 369-399, December.
    19. Ampudia, Miguel & van Vlokhoven, Has & Żochowski, Dawid, 2016. "Financial fragility of euro area households," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 250-262.
    20. Gross, Marco & Población, Javier, 2017. "Assessing the efficacy of borrower-based macroprudential policy using an integrated micro-macro model for European households," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 510-528.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:kap:jfamec:v:41:y:2020:i:3:d:10.1007_s10834-020-09683-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.