## Content

### October 2017, Volume 180, Issue 4

**945-946 Editorial: The Digital Economy Act and statistical research***by*Harvey Goldstein**948-965 Trust in numbers***by*David Spiegelhalter**967-1033 Beyond subjective and objective in statistics***by*Andrew Gelman & Christian Hennig**1035-1037 Preface to the papers on ‘Small area estimation’***by*Nikos Tzavidis & Li-Chun Zhang & Danny Pfeffermann & Partha Lahiri**1039-1055 Small area models for skewed Brazilian business survey data***by*Fernando A. S. Moura & André Felipe Neves & Denise Britz do N. Silva**1057-1088 Small domain estimation of business statistics by using multivariate skew normal models***by*Maria Rosaria Ferrante & Silvia Pacei**1089-1109 Non-parametric small area models using shape-constrained penalized B-splines***by*Julian Wagner & Ralf Münnich & Joachim Hill & Johannes Stoffels & Thomas Udelhoven**1111-1136 Poverty mapping in small areas under a twofold nested error regression model***by*Yolanda Marhuenda & Isabel Molina & Domingo Morales & J. N. K. Rao**1137-1161 Robust mean-squared error estimation for poverty estimates based on the method of Elbers, Lanjouw and Lanjouw***by*Sumonkanti Das & Ray Chambers**1163-1190 Constructing sociodemographic indicators for national statistical institutes by using mobile phone data: estimating literacy rates in Senegal***by*Timo Schmid & Fabian Bruckschen & Nicola Salvati & Till Zbiranski**1191-1209 Multivariate Fay–Herriot Bayesian estimation of small area means under functional measurement error***by*Serena Arima & William R. Bell & Gauri S. Datta & Carolina Franco & Brunero Liseo**1211-1227 Improving small area estimates of disability: combining the American Community Survey with the Survey of Income and Program Participation***by*Jerry J. Maples**1229-1252 Mixed generalized Akaike information criterion for small area models***by*María José Lombardía & Esther López-Vizcaíno & Cristina Rueda**1253-1279 Clustering in small area estimation with area level linear mixed models***by*Elaheh Torkashvand & Mohammad Jafari Jozani & Mahmoud Torabi**1281-1308 Multilevel hierarchical Bayesian versus state space approach in time series small area estimation: the Dutch Travel Survey***by*Oksana Bollineni-Balabay & Jan Brakel & Franz Palm & Harm Jan Boonstra**1309-1311 Geoffrey Mallin Clarke, 1928–2017***by*Tony Haws**1311-1311 Bob Carpenter, 1929–2016***by*James Carpenter**1311-1312 Michael J. Phillips, 1943–2017***by*Jake Ansell**1319-1319 Corrigendum: Florence Nightingale, statistics and the Crimean War***by*Lynn McDonald

### June 2017, Volume 180, Issue 3

**689-722 Interpretable classification models for recidivism prediction***by*Jiaming Zeng & Berk Ustun & Cynthia Rudin**723-749 Health losses at the end of life: a Bayesian mixed beta regression approach***by*Maria Gheorghe & Susan Picavet & Monique Verschuren & Werner B. F. Brouwer & Pieter H. M. Baal**751-768 Statistical modelling of a terrorist network***by*Murray Aitkin & Duy Vu & Brian Francis**769-791 Seasonal changes in central England temperatures***by*Tommaso Proietti & Eric Hillebrand**793-816 The effect of income on mortality—new evidence for the absence of a causal link***by*Alexander Ahammer & G. Thomas Horvath & Rudolf Winter-Ebmer**817-839 Extensive and intensive margin effects in sample selection models: racial effects on wages***by*Myoung-jae Lee**841-862 The pattern of social fluidity within the British class structure: a topological model***by*Erzsébet Bukodi & John H. Goldthorpe & Jouni Kuha**863-889 An introduction to applications of wavelet benchmarking with seasonal adjustment***by*Homesh Sayal & John A. D. Aston & Duncan Elliott & Hernando Ombao**891-905 A latent promotion time cure rate model using dependent tail-free mixtures***by*Li Li & Ji-Hyun Lee**907-922 The dynamics of adolescent depression: an instrumental variable quantile regression with fixed effects approach***by*Paul Contoyannis & Jinhu Li**923-925 Charles Stein, 1920–2016***by*Bradley Efron**925-927 John Aitchison, 1926–2016***by*Mike Titterington**927-928 Stephen Fienberg, 1942–2016***by*Joseph B. (‘Jay’) Kadane**929-930 Thomas P. Linehan, 1926–2017***by*Donal Murphy**930-931 Graham Neil Wilkinson 1927–2016***by*Chris Brien & Roger Payne**931-932 Timothy Terence Dunne, 1948–2016***by*Linda Haines & Francesca Little**932-933 Richard Nixon, 1972–2016***by*B. D. M. Tom & S. G. Thompson & S. W. Duffy & M. J. Sweeting & D. I. Ohlssen**933-934 Ann Mitchell, 1935–2016***by*Lynda White**934-936 Mike Tallis, 1931–2017***by*N. I. Fisher**937-938 Correspondence***by*Paul A. Smith**938-938 Authors' response***by*Marco Bertoni (on behalf of Viola Angelini and Luca Corazzini)**940-940 Happiness Explained: What Human Flourishing Is and How We Can Promote It P. Anand 2016 Oxford , Oxford University Press xii + 142 pp., £12.99 ISBN 978-0-198-73545-8***by*Kuldeep Kumar**940-941 Managing and Sharing Research Data: a Guide to Good Practice L. Corti , V. Van den Eynden , L. Bishop and M. Wollard 2014 240 pp., $26.99 London Sage ISBN 978-1-446-26726-4***by*Carole Sutton**941-941 Handbook of Statistical Distributions with Applications 2nd edn K. Krishnamoorthy , 2016 Boca Raton , CRC Press 376 pp. £69.99 (hardbound); £66.49 (e-book) ISBN 978-1-584-88635-8***by*Mark Pilling

### February 2017, Volume 180, Issue 2

**353-407 Should we sample a time series more frequently?: decision support via multirate spectrum estimation***by*Guy P. Nason & Ben Powell & Duncan Elliott & Paul A. Smith**409-432 Measuring and forecasting quality in English hospitals***by*Irene Papanicolas & Alistair McGuire**433-453 Spatial modelling of emergency service response times***by*Benjamin M. Taylor**455-474 The poor and the poorest, 50 years on: evidence from British Household Expenditure Surveys of the 1950s and 1960s***by*Ian Gazeley & Hector Gutierrez Rufrancos & Andrew Newell & Kevin Reynolds & Rebecca Searle**475-502 Does preschool boost the development of minority children?: the case of Roma children***by*Christina Felfe & Martin Huber**503-530 Retail payment innovations and cash usage: accounting for attrition by using refreshment samples***by*Heng Chen & Marie-Hélène Felt & Kim P. Huynh**531-550 Separating interviewer and area effects by using a cross-classified multilevel logistic model: simulation findings and implications for survey designs***by*Rebecca Vassallo & Gabriele Durrant & Peter Smith**551-568 Detecting and understanding interviewer effects on survey data by using a cross-classified mixed effects location–scale model***by*Ian Brunton-Smith & Patrick Sturgis & George Leckie**569-586 Randomization-based instrumental variables methods for binary outcomes with an application to the ‘IMPROVE’ trial***by*Luke Keele & Dylan Small & Richard Grieve**587-612 Heads I win; tails you lose: asymmetry in exchange rate pass-through into import prices***by*Raphael Brun-Aguerre & Ana-Maria Fuertes & Matthew Greenwood-Nimmo**613-631 Bayesian survival modelling of university outcomes***by*Catalina A. Vallejos & Mark F. J. Steel**633-656 Public school consolidation: a partial observability spatial bivariate probit approach***by*David M. Brasington & Olivier Parent**657-677 Dependence evolution in the Spanish disabled population: a functional data analysis approach***by*Irene Albarrán-Lozano & Pablo J. Alonso-González & Ana Arribas-Gil**682-682 Adversarial Risk Analysis D. L. Banks , J. Rios and D. Ríos Insua 2015 Boca Raton , CRC Press 214 pp., £57.99 (e-book £55.09) ISBN 978-1-498-71239-2***by*Matthew Craven**682-683 Handbook of Discrete-valued Time Series R. A. Davis , S. H. Holan , R. Lund and N. Ravishanker , 2016 Boca Raton , Chapman and Hall–CRC 464 pp., £76.99 ISBN 978-1-466-57773-2***by*Safaa Kadhem**683-683 Sociology as a Population Science J. H. Goldthorpe , 2015 Cambridge, Cambridge University Press 176 pp., £14.99 ISBN 978-1-107-56731-3***by*Thomas King**683-684 Option Valuation under Stochastic Volatility, vol. II A. L. Lewis , 2016 Newport Beach , Finance Press 738 pp., £67.50 ISBN 978-0-967-63721-1***by*Sebastian Dietz**684-685 Missing Data Analysis in Practice T. Raghunathan , 2016 Boca Raton , Chapman and Hall–CRC 230 pp., £52.99 ISBN 978-1-482-21192-4***by*Gian Luca Di Tanna**685-685 Modern Adaptive Randomized Clinical Trials: Statistical and Practical Aspects O. Sverdlov (ed.), 2016 Boca Raton , Chapman and Hall–CRC 534 pp., £69.99 ISBN 978-1-482-23988-1***by*Stanley E. Lazic

### January 2017, Volume 180, Issue 1

**3-43 New statistics for old?—measuring the wellbeing of the UK***by*Paul Allin & David J. Hand**45-72 Taylor's power law and the statistical modelling of infectious disease surveillance data***by*Doyo Gragn Enki & Angela Noufaily & Paddy Farrington & Paul Garthwaite & Nick Andrews & Andre Charlett**73-97 Zero-inflated modelling for characterizing coverage errors of extracts from the US Census Bureau's Master Address File***by*Derek S. Young & Andrew M. Raim & Nancy R. Johnson**99-118 Respondent-driven sampling bias induced by community structure and response rates in social networks***by*Luis E. C. Rocha & Anna E. Thorson & Renaud Lambiotte & Fredrik Liljeros**119-139 A space–time multivariate Bayesian model to analyse road traffic accidents by severity***by*Areti Boulieri & Silvia Liverani & Kees Hoogh & Marta Blangiardo**141-160 Assessing the inequality of lifetime healthcare expenditures: a nearest neighbour resampling approach***by*Albert Wong & Hendriek Boshuizen & Johan Polder & José António Ferreira**161-183 Estimating the density of ethnic minorities and aged people in Berlin: multivariate kernel density estimation applied to sensitive georeferenced administrative data protected via measurement error***by*Marcus Groß & Ulrich Rendtel & Timo Schmid & Sebastian Schmon & Nikos Tzavidis**185-202 Combining Labour Force Survey data to estimate migration flows: the case of migration from Poland to the UK***by*Arkadiusz Wiśniowski**203-223 Adaptive and responsive survey designs: a review and assessment***by*Roger Tourangeau & J. Michael Brick & Sharon Lohr & Jane Li**225-246 Unpacking the determinants of life satisfaction: a survey experiment***by*Viola Angelini & Marco Bertoni & Luca Corazzini**247-261 Identifying subgroups of enhanced predictive accuracy from longitudinal biomarker data by using tree-based approaches: applications to fetal growth***by*Jared C. Foster & Danping Liu & Paul S. Albert & Aiyi Liu**263-283 Multilevel structural equation models for longitudinal data where predictors are measured more frequently than outcomes: an application to the effects of stress on the cognitive function of nurses***by*Fiona Steele & Paul Clarke & George Leckie & Julia Allan & Derek Johnston**285-293 Florence Nightingale, William Farr and competing risks***by*Jan Beyersmann & Christine Schrade**295-314 Stochastic block models for multiplex networks: an application to a multilevel network of researchers***by*Pierre Barbillon & Sophie Donnet & Emmanuel Lazega & Avner Bar-Hen**315-340 Exploring complete school effectiveness via quantile value added***by*Garritt L. Page & Ernesto San Martín & Javiera Orellana & Jorge González

### October 2016, Volume 179, Issue 4

**883-884 Preface to the papers on ‘health econometrics’***by*A. Chevalier & F. Moscone & J. Mullahy**885-905 Do market incentives for hospitals affect health and service utilization?: evidence from prospective pay system–diagnosis-related groups tariffs in Italian regions***by*Lorenzo Cappellari & Anna De Paoli & Gilberto Turati**907-926 The association between asymmetric information, hospital competition and quality of healthcare: evidence from Italy***by*Paolo Berta & Gianmaria Martini & Francesco Moscone & Giorgio Vittadini**927-950 Healthcare facility choice and user fee abolition: regression discontinuity in a multinomial choice setting***by*Steven F. Koch & Jeffrey S. Racine**951-974 A quasi-Monte-Carlo comparison of parametric and semiparametric regression methods for heavy-tailed and non-normal data: an application to healthcare costs***by*Andrew M. Jones & James Lomas & Peter T. Moore & Nigel Rice**975-1005 Phantoms never die: living with unreliable population data***by*Andrew J. G. Cairns & David Blake & Kevin Dowd & Amy R. Kessler**1007-1024 Integrated modelling of age and sex patterns of European migration***by*Arkadiusz Wiśniowski & Jonathan J. Forster & Peter W. F. Smith & Jakub Bijak & James Raymer**1025-1049 The stability of ethnic identity in England and Wales 2001–2011***by*Ludi Simpson & Stephen Jivraj & James Warren**1051-1067 Short- and long-run estimates of the local effects of retirement on health***by*Eduardo Fé & Bruce Hollingsworth**1069-1092 Using auto-regressive logit models to forecast the exceedance probability for financial risk management***by*James W. Taylor & Keming Yu**1093-1115 Reconsidering the effect of family size on labour supply: the twin problems of the twin birth instrument***by*Nils Braakmann & John Wildman**1128-1129 Mathematical Statistics: Basic Ideas and Selected Topics, 2nd edn, vols I and II P. J. Bickel and K. A. Doksum , 2015 Boca Raton , Chapman and Hall–CRC xxii + 548 pp., $99.95 (vol. I); 438 pp., $99.95 (vol. II) ISBN 978-1-498-72380-0***by*Darryl Neil Penenberg**1129-1130 Statistical Analysis and Data Display: an Intermediate Course with Examples in R , 2nd edn R. M. Heiberger and B. Holland , 2015 New York , Springer xxxii + 898 pp., $79.99 ISBN 978-1-493-92122-5***by*Shalabh**1130-1130 Handbook of Cluster Analysis C. Hennig , M. Meila , F. Murtagh and R. Rocci (eds), 2016 Boca Raton , CRC Press 754 pp., £61.59 (hardbound), £53.89 (e-book) ISBN 978-1-466-55188-6***by*Mark Pilling**1130-1131 Analysis of Panel Data , 3rd edn C. Hsiao , 2014 Cambridge , Cambridge University Press 562 pp., $49.99 ISBN 978-1-107-03860-1 (hardbound), 978-1-107-65763-2 paperbound***by*Anoop Chaturvedi**1131-1132 Statistical Rethinking: a Bayesian Course with Examples in R and Stan R. McElreath , 2015 Boca Raton Chapman and Hall–CRC 470 pp., £60.99 ISBN 978-1-482-25344-3***by*Paul Hewson**1132-1132 Circular Statistics in R A. Pewsey , M. Neuhäuser and G. D. Ruxton , 2013 Oxford , Oxford University Press 184 pp., £ 24.99 ISBN 978-0-199-67113-7***by*Nando Lewis**1132-1133 Statistics and Data Analysis for Financial Engineering , 2nd edn D. Ruppert and D. S. Matteson , 2015 New York , Springer 720 pp., £ 52.99 ISBN 978-1-493-92613-8***by*Sebastian Dietz

### June 2016, Volume 179, Issue 3

**629-631 Editorial: ‘Big data’ and data sharing***by*David J. Hand**633-656 Political socialization in flux?: linking family non-intactness during childhood to adult civic engagement***by*Timo Hener & Helmut Rainer & Thomas Siedler**657-681 Behind and beyond the (head count) employment rate***by*Andrea Brandolini & Eliana Viviano**683-706 A comparison of multiple-imputation methods for handling missing data in repeated measurements observational studies***by*Oya Kalaycioglu & Andrew Copas & Michael King & Rumana Z. Omar**707-725 Mothers' long-run career patterns after first birth***by*Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter & Christoph Pamminger & Andrea Weber & Rudolf Winter-Ebmer**727-748 Does more balanced survey response imply less non-response bias?***by*Barry Schouten & Fannie Cobben & Peter Lundquist & James Wagner**749-761 Olley–Pakes productivity decomposition: computation and inference***by*Ari Hyytinen & Pekka Ilmakunnas & Mika Maliranta**763-791 Small area estimation with state space common factor models for rotating panels***by*Jan A. Brakel & Sabine Krieg**793-808 Sequence analysis of call record data: exploring the role of different cost settings***by*Mark Hanly & Paul Clarke & Fiona Steele**809-829 Born leaders: political selection and the relative age effect in the US Congress***by*Daniel Muller & Lionel Page**831-846 The effect of private police on crime: evidence from a geographic regression discontinuity design***by*John M. MacDonald & Jonathan Klick & Ben Grunwald**847-870 J-divergence measurements of economic inequality***by*Nicholas Rohde**878-878 Data Analysis for Network Cyber-security N. Adams N. Heard eds 2014 London Imperial College Press 188 pp £65.00 ISBN 978-1-783-26374-5***by*Sebastian Dietz**878-879 A Certain Uncertainty: Nature's Random Ways M. P. Silverman 2014 Cambridge Cambridge University Press xvi + 618 pp., €175.00 ISBN 978-1-107-03281-1***by*Kuldeep Kumar**879-880 Probability and Statistics by Example 1: Basic Probability and Statistics Y. Suhov M. Kelbert 2014 Cambridge Cambridge University Press 470 pp., $84.99 ISBN 978-1-107-60358-5***by*Shalabh**880-880 Graphical Data Analysis with R A. Unwin 2015 Boca Raton CRC Press xiv + 296 pp., $44.99 ISBN 978-1-498-71523-2***by*Andrey Kostenko**881-882 Exposure–Response Modeling Methods and Practical Implementation J. Wang 2015 Boca Raton CRC Press xviii + 312 pp., $89.46 ISBN 978-1-466-57320-8***by*Darryl Neil Penenberg

### February 2016, Volume 179, Issue 2

**319-376 Perils and potentials of self-selected entry to epidemiological studies and surveys***by*Niels Keiding & Thomas A. Louis**377-402 Multivariate state space approach to variance reduction in series with level and variance breaks due to survey redesigns***by*Oksana Bollineni-Balabay & Jan Brakel & Franz Palm**403-425 Mixed frequency structural vector auto-regressive models***by*Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino**427-452 Longitudinal analysis of the strengths and difficulties questionnaire scores of the Millennium Cohort Study children in England using M-quantile random-effects regression***by*Nikos Tzavidis & Nicola Salvati & Timo Schmid & Eirini Flouri & Emily Midouhas**453-479 Semiparametric small area estimation for binary outcomes with application to unemployment estimation for local authorities in the UK***by*Ray Chambers & Nicola Salvati & Nikos Tzavidis**481-511 What matters in differences between life trajectories: a comparative review of sequence dissimilarity measures***by*Matthias Studer & Gilbert Ritschard**513-533 Beyond completion rate: evaluating the passing ability of footballers***by*Łukasz Szczepański & Ian McHale**535-558 Persistent poverty and children's cognitive development: evidence from the UK Millennium Cohort Study***by*Andrew Dickerson & Gurleen K. Popli**559-581 Survey instruments and the reports of consumption expenditures: evidence from the consumer expenditure surveys***by*Erich Battistin & Mario Padula**583-605 Determining the effect of strategic voting on election results***by*Michael Herrmann & Simon Munzert & Peter Selb**607-628 Consequences of measurement error for inference in cross-lagged panel design—the example of the reciprocal causal relationship between subjective health and socio-economic status***by*Hannes Kröger & Rasmus Hoffmann & Eduwin Pakpahan

### January 2016, Volume 179, Issue 1

**1-63 Statistical modelling of citation exchange between statistics journals***by*Cristiano Varin & Manuela Cattelan & David Firth**65-102 Forecasting distributions of inflation rates: the functional auto-regressive approach***by*Kausik Chaudhuri & Minjoo Kim & Yongcheol Shin**103-131 A hierarchical latent class model for predicting disability small area counts from survey data***by*Enrico Fabrizi & Giorgio E. Montanari & M. Giovanna Ranalli**133-152 Detecting discrimination: a dynamic perspective***by*Konstantinos Tzioumis**153-175 Analysing behavioural risk factor surveillance data by using spatially and temporally varying coefficient models***by*Shireen Assaf & Stefano Campostrini & Fang Xu & Carol Gotway Crawford**177-202 A Bayesian quantile regression model for insurance company costs data***by*Karthik Sriram & Peng Shi & Pulak Ghosh**203-228 Subjective wellbeing: why weather matters***by*John Feddersen & Robert Metcalfe & Mark Wooden**229-250 Small area estimation to quantify discontinuities in repeated sample surveys***by*Jan A. Brakel & Bart Buelens & Harm-Jan Boonstra**251-272 A simple variance estimator of change for rotating repeated surveys: an application to the European Union Statistics on Income and Living Conditions household surveys***by*Y. G. Berger & R. Priam**273-292 Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime***by*Olivier Marie**293-310 Spatially modelling the association between access to recreational facilities and exercise: the ‘Multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis’***by*Samuel I. Berchuck & Joshua L. Warren & Amy H. Herring & Kelly R. Evenson & Kari A. B. Moore & Yamini K. Ranchod & Ana V. Diez-Roux**311-318 Obituaries***by*Julian Champkin & Lord Layard & Steven Gilmour

### October 2015, Volume 178, Issue 4

**787-790 Editorial: Big data in social research***by*Natalie Shlomo & Harvey Goldstein**793-813 Statistics: a data science for the 21st century***by*Peter J. Diggle**815-836 Do household surveys give a coherent view of disability benefit targeting?: a multisurvey latent variable analysis for the older population in Great Britain***by*Ruth Hancock & Marcello Morciano & Stephen Pudney & Francesca Zantomio**837-862 Realtime nowcasting with a Bayesian mixed frequency model with stochastic volatility***by*Andrea Carriero & Todd E. Clark & Massimiliano Marcellino**863-881 The relationship between education and fertility in the presence of a time varying frailty component***by*Anna Gottard & Alessandra Mattei & Daniele Vignoli**883-902 Gender and risk taking: evidence from jumping competitions***by*René Böheim & Mario Lackner**903-923 A joint model of persistent human papilloma virus infection and cervical cancer risk: implications for cervical cancer screening***by*Hormuzd A. Katki & Li C. Cheung & Barbara Fetterman & Philip E. Castle & Rajeshwari Sundaram**925-944 Adjusting for selection bias in assessing the relationship between sibship size and cognitive performance***by*Gebrenegus Ghilagaber & Linda Wänström**945-961 Selection error in single- and mixed mode surveys of the Dutch general population***by*Thomas Klausch & Joop Hox & Barry Schouten**963-975 A new method for protecting interrelated time series with Bayesian prior distributions and synthetic data***by*Matthew J. Schneider & John M. Abowd**977-1007 Bayesian reconstruction of two-sex populations by age: estimating sex ratios at birth and sex ratios of mortality***by*Mark C. Wheldon & Adrian E. Raftery & Samuel J. Clark & Patrick Gerland**1009-1023 Bayesian hierarchical models for smoothing in two-phase studies, with application to small area estimation***by*Michelle Ross & Jon Wakefield**1025-1049 Ranking scientific journals via latent class models for polytomous item response data***by*Francesco Bartolucci & Valentino Dardanoni & Franco Peracchi**1051-1067 Deriving small area estimates from information technology business surveys***by*A. F. Militino & M. D. Ugarte & T. Goicoa**1069-1091 A Bayesian framework for estimating disease risk due to exposure to uranium mine and mill waste on the Navajo Nation***by*Lauren Hund & Edward J. Bedrick & Curtis Miller & Gabriel Huerta & Teddy Nez & Sandy Ramone & Chris Shuey & Miranda Cajero & Johnnye Lewis**1093-1096 Obituaries***by*Martha K. Smith & Stuart Reid & Max Murray & Crawford Revie**1098-1098 Using R for Numerical Analysis in Science and Engineering V. A. Bloomfield 2014 Boca Raton CRC Press xxxiv + 336 pp., $57.99 ISBN 978-1-439-88448-5***by*Andrey Kostenko**1098-1099 Modeling Count Data J. M. Hilbe Cambridge Cambridge University Press xvi + 284 pp., $99.00 (hardbound), $37.99 (paperbound) ISBN 978-1-107-02833-3 (hardbound), 978-1-107-61125-2 (paperbound)***by*Anoop Chaturvedi**1099-1099 Analyzing Baseball Data with R M. Marchi and J. Albert 2013 Boca Raton Chapman and Hall–CRC 334 pp., $26.99 ISBN 978-1-466-57022-1***by*Philip Pallmann**1099-1100 Simulating Nature: a Philosophical Study of Computer-simulation Uncertainties and Their Role in Climate Science and Policy Advice 2nd edn A. C. Petersen 2012 Boca Raton Chapman and Hall–CRC xvi+ 224 pp., £41.99 ISBN 978-1-466-50062-4***by*Umut Okkan & Guül nan**1100-1101 Bayesian and Frequentist Regression Methods J. Wakefield 2013 720 pp., £62.99 Springer, New York ISBN 978-1-441-90924-4***by*Jonathan Gillard

### June 2015, Volume 178, Issue 3

**493-533 Classical time varying factor-augmented vector auto-regressive models—estimation, forecasting and structural analysis***by*Sandra Eickmeier & Wolfgang Lemke & Massimiliano Marcellino**535-565 Small area estimation of labour force indicators under a multinomial model with correlated time and area effects***by*Esther López-Vizcaíno & María José Lombardía & Domingo Morales**567-591 Prediction of patient-reported outcome measures via multivariate ordered probit models***by*Caterina Conigliani & Andrea Manca & Andrea Tancredi**593-618 Profile identification via weighted related metric scaling: an application to dependent Spanish children***by*Irene Albarrán & Pablo Alonso & Aurea Grané**619-639 Network model-assisted inference from respondent-driven sampling data***by*Krista J. Gile & Mark S. Handcock**641-658 Mapping the spatial distribution of a disease-transmitting insect in the presence of surveillance error and missing data***by*Andrew E. Hong & Corentin M. Barbu & Dylan S. Small & Michael Z. Levy & the Chagas Disease Working Group in Arequipa**659-683 Joint modelling of goals and bookings in association football***by*A. C. Titman & D. A. Costain & P. G. Ridall & K. Gregory**685-703 Consistent estimation of the fixed effects ordered logit model***by*Gregori Baetschmann & Kevin E. Staub & Rainer Winkelmann**705-723 Multilevel multivariate modelling of legislative count data, with a hidden Markov chain***by*Francesco Lagona & Antonello Maruotti & Fabio Padovano**725-739 Bayesian estimation of long-term health consequences for obese and normal-weight elderly people***by*Hyokyoung Grace Hong & Yu Yue & Pulak Ghosh**741-755 Home bias in officiating: evidence from international cricket***by*Abhinav Sacheti & Ian Gregory-Smith & David Paton**757-778 From sample average treatment effect to population average treatment effect on the treated: combining experimental with observational studies to estimate population treatment effects***by*Erin Hartman & Richard Grieve & Roland Ramsahai & Jasjeet S. Sekhon**779-780 Obituary: A. H. Halsey, FBA***by*Anthony Heath**782-783 Computational Actuarial Science with R A. Charpentier ed 2015 Boca Raton CRC Press xxxii + 618 pp., $73.79 ISBN 978-1-466-59259-9***by*Andrey Kostenko**783-784 Analysis of Multivariate and High Dimensional Data I. Koch 2013 Cambridge Cambridge University Press 526 pp., £55.00 ISBN 978-0-521-88793-9***by*Shalabh**784-784 Statistics for People Who (Think They) Hate Statistics N. J. Salkind 2014 New York Sage 484 pp., £50.00 ISBN 978-1-452-27771-4***by*Nathan Green**785-785 Bayes’ Rule: a Tutorial Introduction to Bayesian Analysis J. V. Stone 2013 Sebtel 260 pp., £19.95 ISBN 978-0-956-37284-0***by*Claire Keeble**785-785 Sequential Analysis: Hypothesis Testing and Changepoint Detection A. Tartakovsky I. Nikiforov M. Basseville 2014 Boca Raton Chapman and Hall–CRC 604 pp., £63.99 ISBN 978-1-439-83820-4***by*Jonathan Gillard

### February 2015, Volume 178, Issue 2

**303-336 Is the Carli index flawed?: assessing the case for the new retail price index RPIJ***by*Peter Levell**337-361 Private information in healthcare utilization: specification of a copula-based hurdle model***by*Peng Shi & Wei Zhang**363-382 A log-linear modelling approach to assessing the consistency of ego reports of dyadic outcomes with applications to fertility and sexual partnerships***by*Ryan Admiraal & Mark S. Handcock**383-403 Analysis of income inequality measures on human immunodeficiency virus mortality: a spatiotemporal Bayesian perspective***by*Tevfik Aktekin & Muzaffer Musal**405-424 A multilevel modelling approach to measuring changing patterns of ethnic composition and segregation among London secondary schools, 2001–2010***by*George Leckie & Harvey Goldstein**425-443 Estimating the health benefit of reducing indoor air pollution in a randomized environmental intervention***by*Roger D. Peng & Arlene M. Butz & Amber J. Hackstadt & D'Ann L. Williams & Gregory B. Diette & Patrick N. Breysse & Elizabeth C. Matsui**445-464 Combining data from multiple spatially referenced prevalence surveys using generalized linear geostatistical models***by*Emanuele Giorgi & Sanie S. S. Sesay & Dianne J. Terlouw & Peter J. Diggle**465-480 Partially supervised spatiotemporal clustering for burglary crime series identification***by*Brian J. Reich & Michael D. Porter**481-492 Time varying ratings in association football: the all-time greatest team is.***by*Rose D. Baker & Ian G. McHale

### January 2015, Volume 178, Issue 1

**1-28 Hierarchical models for estimating state and demographic trends in US death penalty public opinion***by*Kenneth E. Shirley & Andrew Gelman**29-55 Inference and forecasting in the age–period–cohort model with unknown exposure with an application to mesothelioma mortality***by*María Dolores Martínez Miranda & Bent Nielsen & Jens Perch Nielsen**57-82 Unrestricted mixed data sampling (MIDAS): MIDAS regressions with unrestricted lag polynomials***by*Claudia Foroni & Massimiliano Marcellino & Christian Schumacher**83-99 Interviewer effects on non-response propensity in longitudinal surveys: a multilevel modelling approach***by*Rebecca Vassallo & Gabriele B. Durrant & Peter W. F. Smith & Harvey Goldstein**101-124 Broader health coverage is good for the nation's health: evidence from country level panel data***by*Rodrigo Moreno-Serra & Peter C. Smith**125-146 Local cost surface models of distance decay for the analysis of gridded population data***by*Christopher D. Lloyd**147-166 Diffusion of innovations in dynamic networks***by*Charlotte C. Greenan**167-186 A dynamic bivariate Poisson model for analysing and forecasting match results in the English Premier League***by*Siem Jan Koopman & Rutger Lit**187-203 Fitting age-specific fertility rates by a flexible generalized skew normal probability density function***by*Stefano Mazzuco & Bruno Scarpa**205-222 Modelling reporting delays for outbreak detection in infectious disease data***by*Angela Noufaily & Yonas Ghebremichael-Weldeselassie & Doyo Gragn Enki & Paul Garthwaite & Nick Andrews & André Charlett & Paddy Farrington**223-239 Enhancing a geographic regression discontinuity design through matching to estimate the effect of ballot initiatives on voter turnout***by*Luke Keele & Rocío Titiunik & José R. Zubizarreta**241-269 Diagnostics for respondent-driven sampling***by*Krista J. Gile & Lisa G. Johnston & Matthew J. Salganik**271-296 Bayesian inference for transportation origin–destination matrices: the Poisson–inverse Gaussian and other Poisson mixtures***by*Konstantinos Perrakis & Dimitris Karlis & Mario Cools & Davy Janssens**301-301 Bayesian Data Analysis 3rd edn A. Gelman , J. B. Carlin , H. S. Stern , D. B. Dunson , A. Vehtari and D. B. Rubin , 2013 Boca Raton , Chapman and Hall–CRC 676 pp., £44.99 ISBN 1-439-84095-4***by*Paul Hewson**301-302 Statistics Topics S. Mehta , 2014 CreateSpace Independent Publishing Platform 160 pp., £4.50 ISBN 978-1-499-27353-3***by*Mark Pilling**302-302 Understanding Advanced Statistical Methods P. Westfall and K. S. S. Henning , 2013 Boca Raton , Chapman and Hall–CRC 570 pp., £44.99 ISBN 978-1-466-51210-8***by*Irene Kaimi

### October 2014, Volume 177, Issue 4

**755-756 Editorial: Educational and health inequalities***by*Anna Vignoles & Arnaud Chevalier