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Efficient Bayesian inference of instantaneous reproduction numbers at fine spatial scales, with an application to mapping and nowcasting the Covid‐19 epidemic in British local authorities

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  • Yee Whye Teh
  • Bryn Elesedy
  • Bobby He
  • Michael Hutchinson
  • Sheheryar Zaidi
  • Avishkar Bhoopchand
  • Ulrich Paquet
  • Nenad Tomasev
  • Jonathan Read
  • Peter J. Diggle

Abstract

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  • Yee Whye Teh & Bryn Elesedy & Bobby He & Michael Hutchinson & Sheheryar Zaidi & Avishkar Bhoopchand & Ulrich Paquet & Nenad Tomasev & Jonathan Read & Peter J. Diggle, 2022. "Efficient Bayesian inference of instantaneous reproduction numbers at fine spatial scales, with an application to mapping and nowcasting the Covid‐19 epidemic in British local authorities," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series A, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 185(S1), pages 65-85, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:jorssa:v:185:y:2022:i:s1:p:s65-s85
    DOI: 10.1111/rssa.12971
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Carpenter, Bob & Gelman, Andrew & Hoffman, Matthew D. & Lee, Daniel & Goodrich, Ben & Betancourt, Michael & Brubaker, Marcus & Guo, Jiqiang & Li, Peter & Riddell, Allen, 2017. "Stan: A Probabilistic Programming Language," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 76(i01).
    2. Katelyn M Gostic & Lauren McGough & Edward B Baskerville & Sam Abbott & Keya Joshi & Christine Tedijanto & Rebecca Kahn & Rene Niehus & James A Hay & Pablo M De Salazar & Joel Hellewell & Sophie Meaki, 2020. "Practical considerations for measuring the effective reproductive number, Rt," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(12), pages 1-21, December.
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