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Un modelo macroeconométrico trimestral para la economía española


  • Luis J. Álvarez

    () (Banco de España)

  • Fernando C. Ballabriga

    () (ESADE)

  • Javier Jareño

    (Banco de España)


This paper presents a Bayesian vector autoregression model for the Spanish economy to aid in policy making. Forecasts of this model can be used as a useful input in constructing a macroeconomic scenario. The model is also useful in monetary programming.

Suggested Citation

  • Luis J. Álvarez & Fernando C. Ballabriga & Javier Jareño, 1995. "Un modelo macroeconométrico trimestral para la economía española," Working Papers 9524, Banco de España;Working Papers Homepage.
  • Handle: RePEc:bde:wpaper:9524

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    Cited by:

    1. Espasa, Antoni & Martínez, J. Manuel, 1998. "La demanda de importaciones españolas. Un enfoque VECM desagregado," DES - Documentos de Trabajo. Estadística y Econometría. DS 3662, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    2. Espinosa Acuña, Óscar A. & Vaca González, Paola A. & Avila Forero, Raúl A., 2013. "Elasticidades de demanda por electricidad e impactos macroecon_omicos del precio de la energía eléctrica en Colombia || Elasticity of Electricity Demand and Macroeconomics Impacts of Electricity Price," Revista de Métodos Cuantitativos para la Economía y la Empresa = Journal of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, Universidad Pablo de Olavide, Department of Quantitative Methods for Economics and Business Administration, vol. 16(1), pages 216-249, December.

    More about this item


    Bayesian vector autoregression; Spanish economy; forecasting;

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E20 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)


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