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What Type of Finance Matters for Growth? Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence

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  • Iftekhar Hasan
  • Roman Horvath
  • Jan Mares

Abstract

We examine the effect of finance on long-term economic growth using Bayesian model averaging to address model uncertainty in cross-country growth regressions. The literature largely focuses on financial indicators that assess the financial depth of banks and stock markets. We examine these indicators jointly with newly developed indicators that assess the stability and efficiency of financial markets. Once we subject the finance-growth regressions to model uncertainty, our results suggest that commonly used indicators of financial development are not robustly related to long-term growth. However, the findings from our global sample indicate that one newly developed indicator—the efficiency of financial intermediaries—is robustly related to long-term growth.

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  • Iftekhar Hasan & Roman Horvath & Jan Mares, 2018. "What Type of Finance Matters for Growth? Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence," World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, vol. 32(2), pages 383-409.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:wbecrv:v:32:y:2018:i:2:p:383-409.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ramana Nanda & William R. Kerr, 2015. "Financing Innovation," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 445-462, December.
    2. Carlos Arango & Yassine Bouhdaoui & David Bounie & Martina Eschelbach & Lola Hernández, 2013. "Cash Management and Payment Choices: A Simulation Model with International Comparisons," Staff Working Papers 13-53, Bank of Canada.
    3. Daron Acemoglu & Ufuk Akcigit & Douglas Hanley & William Kerr, 2016. "Transition to Clean Technology," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 124(1), pages 52-104.
    4. Eerola, Essi & Saarimaa, Tuukka, 2015. "Who benefits from public housing?," Research Discussion Papers 30/2015, Bank of Finland.
    5. Mariotto, Carlotta & Verdier, Marianne, 2015. "Innovation and competition in Internet and mobile banking: an industrial organization perspective," Research Discussion Papers 23/2015, Bank of Finland.
    6. Horvath, Roman & Horvatova, Eva & Siranova, Maria, 2017. "Financial development, rule of law and wealth inequality : Bayesian model averaging evidence," BOFIT Discussion Papers 12/2017, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    7. Petr Vanek & Petr Korab, 2018. "Determinants of Deposit and Credit Euroization in Eastern Europe: A Bayesian Model Averaging Evidence," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2018-73, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.
    8. Florian Léon, 2016. "Enterprise credit, household credit and growth: New evidence from 126 countries," CREA Discussion Paper Series 16-17, Center for Research in Economic Analysis, University of Luxembourg.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General

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