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Content
March 2021, Volume 18, Issue 1
- 1-24 Collective Choice May Tell Nothing About Anyone’s Individual Preferences
by Muye Chen & Michel Regenwetter & Clintin P. Davis-Stober - 25-40 An Adversarial Risk Analysis Framework for Batch Acceptance Problems
by Jorge González-Ortega & Refik Soyer & David Ríos Insua & Fabrizio Ruggeri - 41-77 Basic Geometric Dispersion Theory of Decision Making Under Risk: Asymmetric Risk Relativity, New Predictions of Empirical Behaviors, and Risk Triad
by Behnam Malakooti & Mohamed Komaki & Camelia Al-Najjar - 78-99 Quantile Judgments of Lognormal Losses: An Experimental Investigation
by Sulian Wang & Chen Wang
December 2020, Volume 17, Issue 4
- 277-298 Optimal Off-line Experimentation for Games
by Theodore T. Allen & Olivia K. Hernand & Abdullah Alomair - 299-313 The Valuator’s Curse: Decision Analysis of Overvaluation and Disappointment in Acquisition
by Onesun Steve Yoo & Kevin McCardle - 314-329 Eliciting Risk Preferences and Elasticity of Substitution
by Johan Burgaard & Mogens Steffensen - 330-355 Using Value-Focused Thinking and Multicriteria Decision Making to Evaluate Energy Transition Alternatives
by Tim H¨ofer & Rüdiger von Nitzsch & Reinhard Madlener - 356-374 Assessing and Forecasting Cybersecurity Impacts
by Aitor Couce-Vieira & David Rios Insua & Alex Kosgodagan
September 2020, Volume 17, Issue 3
- 187-188 From the Editor: Advances in Multi-Agent Decision Making
by Vicki M. Bier - 189-207 Interdependent Altruistic Preference Models
by Jay Simon & Donald Saari & Donald Saari - 208-226 Fire Code Inspection and Compliance: A Game-Theoretic Model Between Fire Inspection Agencies and Building Owners
by Puneet Agarwal & Kyle Hunt & Shivasubramanian Srinivasan & Jun Zhuang - 227-234 Skills, Efficiency, and Timing in a Simple Attack and Defense Model
by Nicola Dimitri - 235-259 Managing Security Outsourcing in the Presence of Strategic Hackers
by Yong Wu & Junlin Duan & Tao Dai & Dong Cheng - 260-275 Discussion of the Competitive Strategies of Telecom Operators and Over-the-Top Service Providers from the Perspective of Evolutionary Game Theory
by Hsi Tse Wang
June 2020, Volume 17, Issue 2
- 97-114 Comparative Analysis of Terrorists’ Objectives Hierarchies
by Johannes Ulrich Siebert & Detlof von Winterfeldt - 115-133 Additive Scoring Rules for Discrete Sample Spaces
by Zachary J. Smith & J. Eric Bickel - 134-153 Value of Information Analysis for Complex Simulator Models: Application to Wind Farm Maintenance
by Hans Olav Vogt Myklebust & Jo Eidsvik & Iver Bakken Sperstad & Debarun Bhattacharjya - 154-168 Valuation of Research and Development Projects Using Buying and Selling Prices: Generalized Definitions
by Janne Gustafsson - 169-184 Almost Stochastic Dominance for Most Risk-Averse Decision Makers
by Chunling Luo & Chin Hon Tan - 185-185 Call for Papers on Emerging Topics in Health Decision Analysis
by Elisa Long & Gilberto Montibeller & Jun Zhuang
March 2020, Volume 17, Issue 1
- 1-8 From the Editors: Decision Analysis Focus and Trends
by Vicki M. Bier & Simon French - 9-23 What Is Six Hours Worth? The Impact of Lead Time on Tropical-Storm Preparation Decisions
by Eva D. Regnier - 24-38 Valuing Sequences of Lives Lost or Saved Over Time: Preference for Uniform Sequences
by Jeffery L. Guyse & L. Robin Keller & Candice H. Huynh - 39-55 A Review of Probabilistic Opinion Pooling Algorithms with Application to Insider Threat Detection
by Jared A. Beekman & Ronald F. A. Woodaman & Dennis M. Buede - 56-73 Open Source or Closed Source? A Competitive Analysis with Software Security
by Xing Gao - 74-95 On Bilevel Optimization with Inexact Follower
by M. Hosein Zare & Oleg A. Prokopyev & Denis Sauré
December 2019, Volume 16, Issue 4
- 239-260 Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective
by Robert L. Winkler & Yael Grushka-Cockayne & Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr. & Victor Richmond R. Jose - 239-260 Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective
by Robert L. Winkler & Yael Grushka-Cockayne & Kenneth C. Lichtendahl Jr. & Victor Richmond R. Jose - 261-280 Misperception of Exponential Growth: Are People Aware of Their Errors?
by Henning Cordes & Bryan Foltice & Thomas Langer - 261-280 Misperception of Exponential Growth: Are People Aware of Their Errors?
by Henning Cordes & Bryan Foltice & Thomas Langer - 281-300 Sparse Probability Assessment Heuristic Based on Orthogonal Matching Pursuit
by Tao Huang & J. Eric Bickel - 281-300 Sparse Probability Assessment Heuristic Based on Orthogonal Matching Pursuit
by Tao Huang & J. Eric Bickel - 301-313 A Probability Scoring Rule for Simultaneous Events
by Andrew Grant & David Johnstone & Oh Kang Kwon - 301-313 A Probability Scoring Rule for Simultaneous Events
by Andrew Grant & David Johnstone & Oh Kang Kwon - 314-332 Computational Efficiency in Multivariate Adversarial Risk Analysis Models
by Michael Perry & Hadi El-Amine - 314-332 Computational Efficiency in Multivariate Adversarial Risk Analysis Models
by Michael Perry & Hadi El-Amine
September 2019, Volume 16, Issue 3
- 157-171 Characterizing Conflicting User Values for Cyber Authentication Using a Virtual Public Values Forum
by Sarah Kusumastuti & Heather Rosoff & Richard S. John - 157-171 Characterizing Conflicting User Values for Cyber Authentication Using a Virtual Public Values Forum
by Sarah Kusumastuti & Heather Rosoff & Richard S. John - 172-196 Information Sharing in Cybersecurity: A Review
by Ali Pala & Jun Zhuang - 172-196 Information Sharing in Cybersecurity: A Review
by Ali Pala & Jun Zhuang - 197-217 Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments
by Yuyu Fan & David V. Budescu & David Mandel & Mark Himmelstein - 197-217 Improving Accuracy by Coherence Weighting of Direct and Ratio Probability Judgments
by Yuyu Fan & David V. Budescu & David Mandel & Mark Himmelstein - 218-237 Archimedean Utility Copulas with Polynomial Generating Functions
by Ali E. Abbas & Zhengwei Sun - 218-237 Archimedean Utility Copulas with Polynomial Generating Functions
by Ali E. Abbas & Zhengwei Sun
June 2019, Volume 16, Issue 2
- 87-104 Gulf Coast Port Selection Using Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis
by Rivelino R. De Icaza & Gregory S. Parnell & Edward A. Pohl - 87-104 Gulf Coast Port Selection Using Multiple-Objective Decision Analysis
by Rivelino R. De Icaza & Gregory S. Parnell & Edward A. Pohl - 105-127 Principal–Agent Theory, Game Theory, and the Precautionary Principle
by Kjell Hausken - 105-127 Principal–Agent Theory, Game Theory, and the Precautionary Principle
by Kjell Hausken - 128-141 The Myopic Property in Decision Models
by Manel Baucells & Rakesh K. Sarin - 128-141 The Myopic Property in Decision Models
by Manel Baucells & Rakesh K. Sarin - 142-156 On the Geometry of Nash and Correlated Equilibria with Cumulative Prospect Theoretic Preferences
by Soham R. Phade & Venkat Anantharam - 142-156 On the Geometry of Nash and Correlated Equilibria with Cumulative Prospect Theoretic Preferences
by Soham R. Phade & Venkat Anantharam
March 2019, Volume 16, Issue 1
- 1-1 From the Editor
by Vicki M. Bier - 2-30 Optimizing Choice Architectures
by Mark Schneider & Cary Deck & Mikhael Shor & Tibor Besedeš & Sudipta Sarangi - 2-30 Optimizing Choice Architectures
by Mark Schneider & Cary Deck & Mikhael Shor & Tibor Besedeš & Sudipta Sarangi - 31-45 Securing Gates of a Protected Area: A Hybrid Game and Queueing Theory Modeling Approach
by Yael Deutsch & Boaz Golany - 31-45 Securing Gates of a Protected Area: A Hybrid Game and Queueing Theory Modeling Approach
by Yael Deutsch & Boaz Golany - 46-66 Two-Stage Invest–Defend Game: Balancing Strategic and Operational Decisions
by Abdolmajid Yolmeh & Melike Baykal-Gürsoy - 46-66 Two-Stage Invest–Defend Game: Balancing Strategic and Operational Decisions
by Abdolmajid Yolmeh & Melike Baykal-Gürsoy - 67-85 The Generalized Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distribution System
by Christopher C. Hadlock & J. Eric Bickel - 67-85 The Generalized Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distribution System
by Christopher C. Hadlock & J. Eric Bickel
December 2018, Volume 15, Issue 4
- 195-207 A Probability Model for Strategic Bidding on “The Price Is Rightâ€
by Paul H. Kvam - 195-207 A Probability Model for Strategic Bidding on “The Price Is Right”
by Paul H. Kvam - 208-222 Decision Analysis and Political Processes
by Simon French & Nikolaos Argyris - 208-222 Decision Analysis and Political Processes
by Simon French & Nikolaos Argyris - 223-241 Eliciting Public Risk Preferences in Emergency Situations
by Ehsan Taheri & Chen Wang - 223-241 Eliciting Public Risk Preferences in Emergency Situations
by Ehsan Taheri & Chen Wang - 242-266 Moment Risks: Investment for Self and for a Firm
by François Desmoulins-Lebeault & Luc Meunier - 242-266 Moment Risks: Investment for Self and for a Firm
by François Desmoulins-Lebeault & Luc Meunier
September 2018, Volume 15, Issue 3
- 133-138 Partnership Dissolution: Information and Efficiency
by Yuri Khoroshilov - 133-138 Partnership Dissolution: Information and Efficiency+
by Yuri Khoroshilov - 139-153 The Hurwicz Decision Rule’s Relationship to Decision Making with the Triangle and Beta Distributions and Exponential Utility
by Sarat Sivaprasad & Cameron A. MacKenzie - 139-153 The Hurwicz Decision Rule’s Relationship to Decision Making with the Triangle and Beta Distributions and Exponential Utility
by Sarat Sivaprasad & Cameron A. MacKenzie - 154-173 Insights for Critical Alarm-Based Warning Systems from a Risk Analysis of Commercial Aviation Passenger Screening
by Robin L. Dillon & William J. Burns & Richard S. John - 154-173 Insights for Critical Alarm-Based Warning Systems from a Risk Analysis of Commercial Aviation Passenger Screening
by Robin L. Dillon & William J. Burns & Richard S. John - 174-193 Role of Intelligence Inputs in Defending Against Cyber Warfare and Cyberterrorism
by Aniruddha Bagchi & Tridib Bandyopadhyay - 174-193 Role of Intelligence Inputs in Defending Against Cyber Warfare and Cyberterrorism
by Aniruddha Bagchi & Tridib Bandyopadhyay
June 2018, Volume 15, Issue 2
- 55-71 Modeling and Validating Public–Private Partnerships in Disaster Management
by Peiqiu Guan & Jing Zhang & Vineet M. Payyappalli & Jun Zhuang - 55-71 Modeling and Validating Public–Private Partnerships in Disaster Management
by Peiqiu Guan & Jing Zhang & Vineet M. Payyappalli & Jun Zhuang - 72-89 On the Road to Making Science of “Art†: Risk Bias in Market Scoring Rules
by Majid Karimi & Stanko Dimitrov - 72-89 On the Road to Making Science of “Art”: Risk Bias in Market Scoring Rules
by Majid Karimi & Stanko Dimitrov - 90-109 When Hackers Err: The Impacts of False Positives on Information Security Games
by Bin Mai & Shailesh Kulkarni - 90-109 When Hackers Err: The Impacts of False Positives on Information Security Games
by Bin Mai & Shailesh Kulkarni - 110-130 Eliminating the Weakest Link Approach to Army Unit Readiness
by Paul L. Goethals & Natalie M. Scala - 110-130 Eliminating the Weakest Link Approach to Army Unit Readiness
by Paul L. Goethals & Natalie M. Scala
March 2018, Volume 15, Issue 1
- 1-10 Participation Costs and Inefficiency in Takeover Contests
by Didier Dègnidé Hounwanou - 1-10 Participation Costs and Inefficiency in Takeover Contests
by Didier Dègnidé Hounwanou - 11-26 When to Release Feedback in a Dynamic Tournament
by Brendan Daley & Ruoyu Wang - 11-26 When to Release Feedback in a Dynamic Tournament
by Brendan Daley & Ruoyu Wang - 27-46 Impact of Compound and Reduced Specification on Valuation of Projects with Multiple Risks
by Saurabh Bansal & Yaroslav Rosokha - 27-46 Impact of Compound and Reduced Specification on Valuation of Projects with Multiple Risks
by Saurabh Bansal & Yaroslav Rosokha - 47-52 Kelly Betting on Horse Races with Uncertainty in Probability Estimates
by Michael R. Metel - 47-52 Kelly Betting on Horse Races with Uncertainty in Probability Estimates
by Michael R. Metel
December 2017, Volume 14, Issue 4
- 227-228 Introduction to the Special Issue on Decision Analysis and Social Media
by Ali E. Abbas & Jay Simon & Chris Smith - 227-228 Introduction to the Special Issue on Decision Analysis and Social Media
by Ali E. Abbas & Jay Simon & Chris Smith - 229-249 Social Media Analytics: Literature Review and Directions for Future Research
by Ashish K. Rathore & Arpan K. Kar & P. Vigneswara Ilavarasan - 229-249 Social Media Analytics: Literature Review and Directions for Future Research
by Ashish K. Rathore & Arpan K. Kar & P. Vigneswara Ilavarasan - 250-260 Timely Decision Analysis Enabled by Efficient Social Media Modeling
by Theodore T. Allen & Zhenhuan Sui & Nathan L. Parker - 250-260 Timely Decision Analysis Enabled by Efficient Social Media Modeling
by Theodore T. Allen & Zhenhuan Sui & Nathan L. Parker - 261-273 Online and Off the Field: Predicting School Choice in College Football Recruiting from Social Media Data
by Kristina Gavin Bigsby & Jeffrey W. Ohlmann & Kang Zhao - 261-273 Online and Off the Field: Predicting School Choice in College Football Recruiting from Social Media Data
by Kristina Gavin Bigsby & Jeffrey W. Ohlmann & Kang Zhao - 274-297 Identifying Soccer Players on Facebook Through Predictive Analytics
by Matthias Bogaert & Michel Ballings & Martijn Hosten & Dirk Van den Poel - 274-297 Identifying Soccer Players on Facebook Through Predictive Analytics
by Matthias Bogaert & Michel Ballings & Martijn Hosten & Dirk Van den Poel
September 2017, Volume 14, Issue 3
- 139-169 Was Angelina Jolie Right? Optimizing Cancer Prevention Strategies Among BRCA Mutation Carriers
by Eike Nohdurft & Elisa Long & Stefan Spinler - 139-169 Was Angelina Jolie Right? Optimizing Cancer Prevention Strategies Among BRCA Mutation Carriers
by Eike Nohdurft & Elisa Long & Stefan Spinler - 170-186 In Equations We Trust? Formula Knowledge Effects on the Exponential Growth Bias in Household Finance Decisions
by Bryan Foltice & Thomas Langer - 170-186 In Equations We Trust? Formula Knowledge Effects on the Exponential Growth Bias in Household Finance Decisions
by Bryan Foltice & Thomas Langer - 187-203 Value of Global Catastrophic Risk (GCR) Information: Cost-Effectiveness-Based Approach for GCR Reduction
by Anthony Michael Barrett - 187-203 Value of Global Catastrophic Risk (GCR) Information: Cost-Effectiveness-Based Approach for GCR Reduction
by Anthony Michael Barrett - 204-225 Optimal Group Size in Joint Liability Contracts
by Bahar Rezaei & Sriram Dasu & Reza Ahmadi - 204-225 Optimal Group Size in Joint Liability Contracts
by Bahar Rezaei & Sriram Dasu & Reza Ahmadi
June 2017, Volume 14, Issue 2
- 75-86 A Polytomous Item Response Theory Model for Measuring Near-Miss Appraisal as a Psychological Trait
by Jinshu Cui & Heather Rosoff & Richard S. John - 75-86 A Polytomous Item Response Theory Model for Measuring Near-Miss Appraisal as a Psychological Trait
by Jinshu Cui & Heather Rosoff & Richard S. John - 87-107 Modeling a Multitarget Attacker–Defender Game with Budget Constraints
by Peiqiu Guan & Meilin He & Jun Zhuang & Stephen C. Hora - 87-107 Modeling a Multitarget Attacker–Defender Game with Budget Constraints
by Peiqiu Guan & Meilin He & Jun Zhuang & Stephen C. Hora - 108-125 Directed Expected Utility Networks
by Manuele Leonelli & Jim Q. Smith - 108-125 Directed Expected Utility Networks
by Manuele Leonelli & Jim Q. Smith - 126-136 Sensitivity of the Discount Rate to the Expected Payoff in Project Valuation
by David Johnstone - 126-136 Sensitivity of the Discount Rate to the Expected Payoff in Project Valuation
by David Johnstone
March 2017, Volume 14, Issue 1
- 1-20 Combining Interval Forecasts
by Anil Gaba & Ilia Tsetlin & Robert L. Winkler - 1-20 Combining Interval Forecasts
by Anil Gaba & Ilia Tsetlin & Robert L. Winkler - 21-34 Discretization Precision and Assessment Error
by Robert K. Hammond & J. Eric Bickel - 21-34 Discretization Precision and Assessment Error
by Robert K. Hammond & J. Eric Bickel - 35-64 Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distributions
by Christopher C. Hadlock & J. Eric Bickel - 35-64 Johnson Quantile-Parameterized Distributions
by Christopher C. Hadlock & J. Eric Bickel - 65-73 Clear Preferences Under Partial Distribution Information
by Chin Hon Tan - 65-73 Clear Preferences Under Partial Distribution Information
by Chin Hon Tan & Chunling Luo
December 2016, Volume 13, Issue 4
- 223-242 An Overview of Applications of Proper Scoring Rules
by Arthur Carvalho - 243-277 The Metalog Distributions
by Thomas W. Keelin - 278-291 Can Novices Create Alternatives of the Same Quality as Experts?
by Johannes Siebert
September 2016, Volume 13, Issue 3
- 173-191 Long-Term Care Insurance Decisions
by Samuel E. Bodily & Bryan Furman - 192-208 Equilibrium Notions for Agents with Cumulative Prospect Theory Preferences
by Kerim Keskin - 209-212 On the Positive Expected Utility of Combination Wagers
by Babatunde Buraimo & David Peel & Rob Simmons - 213-218 Remembering Howard Raiffa
by Ralph L. Keeney - 219-220 The Legacy of Howard Raiffa
by David Bell
June 2016, Volume 13, Issue 2
- 101-116 Reducing Risk and Improving Incentives in Funding Entrepreneurs
by Samuel E. Bodily - 117-127 Using Means Objectives to Present Risk Information
by Candice H. Huynh & Jay Simon - 128-152 Validating the Contribution-Weighted Model: Robustness and Cost-Benefit Analyses
by Eva Chen & David V. Budescu & Shrinidhi K. Lakshmikanth & Barbara A. Mellers & Philip E. Tetlock - 153-171 Goals as Reference Points: Empirical Evidence from a Virtual Reward System
by Tobias von Rechenberg & Dominik Gutt & Dennis Kundisch
March 2016, Volume 13, Issue 1
- 1-25 Probabilistic Warnings in National Security Crises: Pearl Harbor Revisited
by David M. Blum & M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell - 26-50 Identifying and Structuring the Objectives of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and Its Followers
by Johannes Siebert & Detlof von Winterfeldt & Richard S. John - 51-67 Partition Dependence and Carryover Biases in Subjective Probability Assessment Surveys for Continuous Variables: Model-Based Estimation and Correction
by Venkata R. Prava & Robert T. Clemen & Benjamin F. Hobbs & Melissa A. Kenney - 68-98 Sequential Shortest Path Interdiction with Incomplete Information
by Juan S. Borrero & Oleg A. Prokopyev & Denis Sauré
December 2015, Volume 12, Issue 4
- 155-172 “Gaming the System”: Decision Making by Interdependent Critical Infrastructure
by Allison C. Reilly & Andrew Samuel & Seth D. Guikema - 173-189 Modeling Public–Private Partnerships in Disaster Management via Centralized and Decentralized Models
by Peiqiu Guan & Jun Zhuang - 190-204 Equal Tails: A Simple Method to Elicit Utility Under Violations of Expected Utility
by Manel Baucells & Antonio Villasís - 205-227 Theory of Generalized Risk Attitudes
by Janne Gustafsson
2015, Volume 12, Issue 3
- 105-121 Search Before Trade-offs Are Known
by Otso Massala & Ilia Tsetlin - 122-129 Use of Insurance Against a Small Loss as an Incentive Strategy
by Daniella Meeker & Christin Thompson & Greg Strylewicz & Tara K. Knight & Jason N. Doctor - 130-143 The Composition of Optimally Wise Crowds
by Clintin P. Davis-Stober & David V. Budescu & Stephen B. Broomell & Jason Dana - 144-152 The Impact of Learning by Thought on Violations of Independence and Coalescing
by Michael H. Birnbaum & Ulrich Schmidt
June 2015, Volume 12, Issue 2
- 61-73 Possibility Engineering
by James C. Felli - 74-80 Weighted Almost Stochastic Dominance: Revealing the Preferences of Most Decision Makers in the St. Petersburg Paradox
by Chin Hon Tan - 81-95 Air Force Cyberspace Investment Analysis
by Gregory S. Parnell & Rudolph E. Butler & Stephen J. Wichmann & Mike Tedeschi & David Merritt - 96-103 An Empirical Examination of Multiple Objective Risk Attitudes
by William K. Klimack & Jack M. Kloeber & Kenneth W. Bauer & Mark E. Oxley
March 2015, Volume 12, Issue 1
- 1-14 Nonconvex Equilibrium Prices in Prediction Markets
by Ashwin K. Seshadri - 15-28 Project Management Decisions with Uncertain Targets
by Jeffrey M. Keisler & Robert F. Bordley - 29-45 Collaborative Decision Making
by Daniel Owen - 46-58 Deciding on the Decision Situation to Analyze: The Critical First Step of a Decision Analysis
by Roberto Ley-Borrás
December 2014, Volume 11, Issue 4
- 215-232 Multiattribute Procurement Auctions: Efficiency and Social Welfare in Theory and Practice
by Gregory E. Kersten - 233-249 Decomposing a Utility Function Based on Discrete Distribution Independence
by Ying He & James S. Dyer & John C. Butler - 250-264 Augmented Markov Chain Monte Carlo Simulation for Two-Stage Stochastic Programs with Recourse
by Tahir Ekin & Nicholas G. Polson & Refik Soyer - 265-276 Pancreatic Cancer: Insights from Counterterrorism Theories
by Mary F. McGuire
September 2014, Volume 11, Issue 3
- 147-170 A Generalized Sampling Approach for Multilinear Utility Functions Given Partial Preference Information
by Luis V. Montiel & J. Eric Bickel - 171-188 Exploding Offers Can Blow Up in More Than One Way
by Nelson Lau & Yakov Bart & J. Neil Bearden & Ilia Tsetlin - 189-203 The Value of Information in Some Variations of the Stopping Problem
by Debarun Bhattacharjya & Léa A. Deleris - 204-212 Reducing Interval-Valued Decision Trees to Conventional Ones: Comments on Decision Trees with Single and Multiple Interval-Valued Objectives
by Yongzhi Cao
June 2014, Volume 11, Issue 2
- 83-104 Scale Dependence and Ranking Intervals in Additive Value Models Under Incomplete Preference Information
by Antti Punkka & Ahti Salo - 105-116 Decision Performance and Safety Performance: A Value-Focused Thinking Study in the Oil Industry
by Jason R. W. Merrick & Martha Grabowski - 117-132 A Value-Focused Approach to Energy Transformation in the United States Department of Defense
by Jay Simon & Eva Regnier & Laura Whitney - 133-145 Two Reasons to Make Aggregated Probability Forecasts More Extreme
by Jonathan Baron & Barbara A. Mellers & Philip E. Tetlock & Eric Stone & Lyle H. Ungar
March 2014, Volume 11, Issue 1
- 1-20 Measurable Multiattribute Value Functions for Portfolio Decision Analysis
by Juuso Liesiö - 21-26 Augmenting Ordinal Methods of Attribute Weight Approximation
by Mats Danielson & Love Ekenberg & Ying He - 27-42 Evolving Risk Perceptions About Near-Miss Terrorist Events
by Robin L. Dillon & Catherine H. Tinsley & William J. Burns - 43-62 Modeling Credible Retaliation Threats in Deterring the Smuggling of Nuclear Weapons Using Partial Inspection---A Three-Stage Game
by Xiaojun (Gene) Shan & Jun Zhuang - 63-81 Improving the Value of Analysis for Biosurveillance
by Henry H. Willis & Melinda Moore
December 2013, Volume 10, Issue 4
- 277-278 From the Editor ---Median Aggregation, Scoring Rules, Expert Forecasts, Choices with Binary Attributes, Portfolio with Dependent Projects, and Information Security
by Rakesh K. Sarin - 279-291 Median Aggregation of Distribution Functions
by Stephen C. Hora & Benjamin R. Fransen & Natasha Hawkins & Irving Susel - 292-304 Choosing a Strictly Proper Scoring Rule
by Edgar C. Merkle & Mark Steyvers - 305-326 Probabilistic Coherence Weighting for Optimizing Expert Forecasts
by Christopher W. Karvetski & Kenneth C. Olson & David R. Mandel & Charles R. Twardy - 327-340 Why Do Simple Heuristics Perform Well in Choices with Binary Attributes?
by Konstantinos V. Katsikopoulos - 341-351 The Value of Information in Portfolio Problems with Dependent Projects
by Debarun Bhattacharjya & Jo Eidsvik & Tapan Mukerji - 352-368 Information Security Investment When Hackers Disseminate Knowledge
by Xing Gao & Weijun Zhong & Shue Mei
September 2013, Volume 10, Issue 3
- 187-188 From the Editor —Optimal Betting, Reducing Unnecessary Mammography in Breast Cancer Diagnosis, Product Line Design, and Value of Information
by Rakesh K. Sarin - 189-199 Optimal Betting Under Parameter Uncertainty: Improving the Kelly Criterion
by Rose D. Baker & Ian G. McHale - 200-224 Optimal Policies for Reducing Unnecessary Follow-Up Mammography Exams in Breast Cancer Diagnosis
by Oguzhan Alagoz & Jagpreet Chhatwal & Elizabeth S. Burnside - 225-244 Product Line Design with Deliberation Costs: A Two-Stage Process
by Hui Xiong & Ying-Ju Chen - 245-256 Decreasing Marginal Value of Information Under Symmetric Loss
by Sushil Bikhchandani & John W. Mamer - 257-275 Effects of Risk Aversion on the Value of Information in Two-Action Decision Problems
by Ali E. Abbas & N. Onur Bakır & Georgia-Ann Klutke & Zhengwei Sun
June 2013, Volume 10, Issue 2
- 99-102 From the Editors ---Group Decisions, Preference Elicitation, Experienced Utility, Survival Probabilities, and Portfolio Value of Information
by Rakesh K. Sarin & L. Robin Keller - 103-120 Foundations for Group Decision Analysis
by Ralph L. Keeney - 121-134 Toward an Improved Methodology to Construct and Reconcile Decision Analytic Preference Judgments
by Richard M. Anderson & Robert Clemen - 135-151 Determinants of Experienced Utility: Laws and Implications
by Manel Baucells & Rakesh K. Sarin - 152-170 Estimating Second Order Probability Beliefs from Subjective Survival Data
by Péter Hudomiet & Robert J. Willis - 171-185 Components of Portfolio Value of Information
by Kun Zan & J. Eric Bickel
March 2013, Volume 10, Issue 1
- 1-5 From the Editors: Probability Approximations, Anti-Terrorism Strategy, and Bull's-Eye Display for Performance Feedback
by Rakesh K. Sarin & L. Robin Keller - 6-25 Reexamining Discrete Approximations to Continuous Distributions
by Robert K. Hammond & J. Eric Bickel - 26-41 Approximating Joint Probability Distributions Given Partial Information
by Luis V. Montiel & J. Eric Bickel