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Gendered fertility intentions and child schooling: insights on the quantity–quality trade-off from Ethiopia

Author

Listed:
  • Eva BOONAERT

    (Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven)

  • Kaat VAN HOYWEGHEN

    (Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven)

  • Ashenafi DUGUMA FEYISA

    (Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven)

  • Peter GOOS

    (Department of Biostatistics, KU Leuven)

  • Miet MAERTENS

    (epartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, KU Leuven, Leuven)

Abstract

Fertility decline in human history is a complex enigma. Different triggers have been proposed, among others the increased demand for human capital resulting in parents making a quantity–quality (QQ) trade-off. This is the first study that examines the existence of a QQ trade-off and the possible gender bias by analyzing fertility intentions rather than fertility outcomes. We rely on the unified growth theory to understand the QQ trade-off conceptually and a discrete choice experiment conducted among 426 respondents in Ethiopia to analyze fertility intentions empirically. We confirm the existence of a QQ trade-off only when the number of children is less than six and find that intentions are gendered in two ways: (i) boys are preferred over girls, and (ii) men are willing to trade-off more education in return for more children. Results imply that a focus on both stimulating intentions for education, especially girls' education, and on family size intentions is important to accelerate the demographic transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Eva BOONAERT & Kaat VAN HOYWEGHEN & Ashenafi DUGUMA FEYISA & Peter GOOS & Miet MAERTENS, 2025. "Gendered fertility intentions and child schooling: insights on the quantity–quality trade-off from Ethiopia," JODE - Journal of Demographic Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 91(1), pages 1-48, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:ctl:louvde:v:91:y:2025:i:1:p:1-48
    DOI: 10.1017/dem.2022.28
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Choice experiment; Demographic transition; Education; Family planning; Sex preferences; Unified growth theory;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J16 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Economics of Gender; Non-labor Discrimination

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