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Municipality Disaggregation Of German'S Agricultural Sector Model Raumis

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  • Roeder, Norbert
  • Gocht, Alexander

Abstract

Since several decades the RAUMIS modelling system is applied for policy impact assessments to measure the impact of agriculture on the environment. A disaggregation at the municipality level with more than 9.000 administrative units, instead of currently used 316 counties, would tremendously improve the environmental impact analysis. Two sets of data are used for this purpose. The first are geo-referenced data, that are, however, incomplete with respect its coverage of production activities in agriculture. The second set is the micro census statistic itself, that has a full coverage, but data protection rules (DPR) prohibit its straightforward use. The paper show how this bottleneck can be passed to obtain a reliable modelling data set at municipality level with a complete coverage of the agricultural sector in Germany. We successfully applied a Bayesian estimator, that uses prior information derived a cluster analysis based on the micro census and GIS information. Our test statistics of the estimation, calculated by the statistical office, comparing our estimates and the real protected data, reveals that the proposed approach adequately estimates most activities and can be used to fed the municipality layer in the RAUMIS modelling system for an extended policy analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Roeder, Norbert & Gocht, Alexander, 2011. "Municipality Disaggregation Of German'S Agricultural Sector Model Raumis," 122nd Seminar, February 17-18, 2011, Ancona, Italy 99248, European Association of Agricultural Economists.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:eaa122:99248
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/99248
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gocht, Alexander & Britz, Wolfgang, 2011. "EU-wide farm type supply models in CAPRI--How to consistently disaggregate sector models into farm type models," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 146-167, January.
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    Keywords

    Highest Posterior Density estimator (HPD); RAUMIS; Down scaling; Agricultural and Food Policy; C11; C61; C81; Q15;

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • C81 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Data Collection and Data Estimation Methodology; Computer Programs - - - Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Microeconomic Data; Data Access
    • Q15 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Land Ownership and Tenure; Land Reform; Land Use; Irrigation; Agriculture and Environment

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