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Estimate of the Czech National Bank’s Preferences in NOEM DSGE model

Author

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  • Adam Remo

    ()

  • Osvald Vašíček

    ()

Abstract

This article deals with estimation of preferences of the Czech National Bank. New Keynesian small open economy model developed by Gali and Monacelli with optimal commitment monetary policy is considered in order to estimate them. The article uses the solution for optimal commitment policy proposed by R. Dennis. Estimates of the model parameters are obtained by Bayesian estimation technique with use of the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm and the Kalman filter. The diagnostics proposed by Brooks and Gelman and Geweke are carried out to examine the konvergence of the Markov chain. We found out that the Czech National Bank pays a little attention to output stabilization in comparison to its concern over inflation targeting. The results indicates that the Czech National Bank's most important objective is inflation targeting. This result is in accordance with proclaimed monetary policy of the Czech National Bank.

Suggested Citation

  • Adam Remo & Osvald Vašíček, 2009. "Estimate of the Czech National Bank’s Preferences in NOEM DSGE model," Bulletin of the Czech Econometric Society, The Czech Econometric Society, vol. 16(26).
  • Handle: RePEc:czx:journl:v:16:y:2009:i:26:id:163
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    File URL: http://ces.utia.cas.cz/bulletin/index.php/bulletin/article/view/163
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Palma, Andreza Aparecida & Portugal, Marcelo Savino, 2014. "Preferences of the Central Bank of Brazil under the inflation targeting regime: Estimation using a DSGE model for a small open economy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(5), pages 824-839.
    2. Frömmel, Michael & Garabedian, Garo & Schobert, Franziska, 2011. "Monetary policy rules in Central and Eastern European Countries: Does the exchange rate matter?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 33(4), pages 807-818.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    monetary policy; optimal commitment policy; central bank’s preferences; small open economy; New Keynesian; DSGE; Bayesian estimation;

    JEL classification:

    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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