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Which factors capitalize into house prices? A Bayesian averaging approach

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  • Stadelmann, David

Abstract

This paper investigates the robustness of 33 community-specific explanatory variables for house prices in the Swiss metropolitan area of Zurich using Bayesian model averaging. The analysis suggests a new way to perform hedonic variable selection and provides a minimal list of variables which may serve as a priori constraints when predicting house prices or estimating the effect of other community-specific characteristics in a metropolitan area in a highly developed country. In the context analyzed, the main variables which capitalize with a high posterior probability are location-specific real estate characteristics, municipal taxes and expenditure for culture, health and social well-being. Demographic as well as other socio-economic controls seem to be of minor importance.

Suggested Citation

  • Stadelmann, David, 2010. "Which factors capitalize into house prices? A Bayesian averaging approach," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 180-204, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jhouse:v:19:y:2010:i:3:p:180-204
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    Cited by:

    1. David Stadelmann & Reiner Eichenberger, 2014. "Public debts capitalize into property prices: empirical evidence for a new perspective on debt incidence," International Tax and Public Finance, Springer;International Institute of Public Finance, vol. 21(3), pages 498-529, June.
    2. Karolien De Bruyne & Jan Van Hove, 2013. "Explaining the spatial variation in housing prices: an economic geography approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(13), pages 1673-1689, May.
    3. Schaltegger, Christoph A. & Somogyi, Frank & Sturm, Jan-Egbert, 2011. "Tax competition and income sorting: Evidence from the Zurich metropolitan area," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 455-470, September.
    4. Benjamin Wirth & Davidt Hardt & Isabella Lehmann, 2016. "Capitalization of Local Taxes and Expenditures - The case of Bavarian Municipalities," ERSA conference papers ersa16p773, European Regional Science Association.
    5. repec:bla:pacecr:v:22:y:2017:i:3:p:312-331 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Piotr Białowolski & Tomasz Kuszewski & Bartosz Witkowski, 2012. "Macroeconomic Forecasts in Models with Bayesian Averaging of Classical Estimates," Contemporary Economics, University of Finance and Management in Warsaw, vol. 6(1), March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Capitalization House price hedonic Model uncertainity Bayesian model averaging;

    JEL classification:

    • R21 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis - - - Housing Demand
    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • H40 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods - - - General

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