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Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment : A Bayesian approach of DSGE models


  • Jean-Francois Piferini

    () (Département d'économie et de gestion université PARIS 8)


Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models have begun to dominate the field of macroeconomic theory and policy making. In this paper, I present the first estimation results of investment expenditure for the french economy, applying the bayesian estimation approach of DSGE models. first, I will present the forward looking DSGE model. The DSGE model is defined and first order conditions are identified. The second section sketches the bayesian estimation methodology (solving the model with linear approximations). Then, I describe results on a quarterly french dataset. The model provides an good description of the dynamics of the series.

Suggested Citation

  • Jean-Francois Piferini, 2006. "Uncertainty and Irreversible Investment : A Bayesian approach of DSGE models," Computing in Economics and Finance 2006 460, Society for Computational Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:sce:scecfa:460

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Giuseppe Ferrero, 2004. "Monetary Policy and the Transition to Rational Expectations," Econometric Society 2004 North American Summer Meetings 101, Econometric Society.
    2. George W. Evans & Seppo Honkapohja & Noah Williams, 2010. "Generalized Stochastic Gradient Learning," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 51(1), pages 237-262, February.
    3. Giannitsarou, Chryssi, 2005. "E-Stability Does Not Imply Learnability," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 9(02), pages 276-287, April.
    4. Barucci, Emilio & Landi, Leonardo, 1997. "Least mean squares learning in self-referential linear stochastic models," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 57(3), pages 313-317, December.
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    More about this item


    investment; uncertainty;

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Bayesian Analysis: General
    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models


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