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Trend Inflation, Taylor Principle and Indeterminacy

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  • Ascari, Guido
  • Ropele, Tiziano

Abstract

We show that low trend inflation strongly a¤ects the dynamics of a standard Neo-Keynesian model where monetary policy is described by a standard Taylor rule. Moreover, trend inflation enlarges the indeterminacy region in the parameter space, substantially altering the so-called Taylor principle. The main results hold for di¤erent types of Taylor rules, inertial policy rules and indexation schemes. The key message is that, whatever the set up, the literature on Taylor rules cannot disregard average inflation in both theoretical and empirical analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Ascari, Guido & Ropele, Tiziano, 2007. "Trend Inflation, Taylor Principle and Indeterminacy," Kiel Working Papers 1332, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwkwp:1332
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sticky Prices; Taylor Rules and Trend Inflation;

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation

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