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Trend Inflation, Taylor Principle and Indeterminacy

Author

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  • Guido Ascari

    (University of Pavia)

  • Tiziano Ropele

    (Department of Economics, University of Milan-Bicocca)

Abstract

In this paper, we show that low trend inflation strongly affects the dynamics of a standard Neo-keynesian model where monetary policy is described by a standard Taylor rule. In particular, we show that trend inflation: (i) enlarges the indeterminacy region in the parameter space, substantially altering the so-called Taylor principle; (ii) changes the dynamic responses of the economy. Furthermore, we generalize the basic analysis to different types of Taylor rules, inertial policy rules and indexation schemes. The key point is that, whatever the set up, the literature on Taylor rules cannot disregard average inflation in both theoretical and empirical analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Guido Ascari & Tiziano Ropele, 2005. "Trend Inflation, Taylor Principle and Indeterminacy," Working Papers 93, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2005.
  • Handle: RePEc:mib:wpaper:93
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sticky Prices; Taylor Rules and Trend Inflation;

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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