The Deficit?Interest Rate Connection: an empirical assessment of the EU
The progressive deterioration of public finances in most developed countries, during the last two decades, prompted an extensive discussion on the effects of government deficits on the interest rate and, consequently, on employment and economic growth. The empirical literature, largely focused on the US, is far from conclusive. This paper examines this relationship in six core EU countries using non-causality tests, including the recently proposed LA-VAR test. The evidence suggests that, contrary to the conventional economic theory, no causal effect from the deficits to the interest rate can in general be found. On the contrary, the econometric tests highlight the preponderant negative consequences of high interest rates on the government total deficit.
|Date of creation:||2004|
|Contact details of provider:|| Postal: Largo dos Colegiais 2, 7000 - 803ÉVORA|
Phone: + 351 266 74 08 94
Fax: + 351 266 74 24 94
Web page: http://www.decon.uevora.pt
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:evo:wpecon:5_2004. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Maria Aurora Murcho Galego)
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.
If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.