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Deficits and Interest Rates as Evidence of Ricardian Equivalence

Author

Listed:
  • David C. Rose

    (University of Missouri, St. Louis)

  • David R. Hakes

    (University of Northern Iowa)

Abstract

A number of empirical studies have failed to find a significant relationship between deficits and interest rates. This "non-finding" has become something of a stylized fact among many economists and is often cited as evidence of the validity of the Ricardian equivalence theorem. In this paper we show that estimates of reduced-form interest rate equations do not provide direct information about structural parameters that might reveal Ricardian equivalence. As a result, an insignificant relationship between deficits and interest rates is only a necessary, not a sufficient, condition for Ricardian equivalence.

Suggested Citation

  • David C. Rose & David R. Hakes, 1995. "Deficits and Interest Rates as Evidence of Ricardian Equivalence," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 21(1), pages 57-66, Winter.
  • Handle: RePEc:eej:eeconj:v:21:y:1995:i:1:p:57-66
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    File URL: http://web.holycross.edu/RePEc/eej/Archive/Volume21/V21N1P57_66.pdf
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. António Afonso, 2007. "An Avenue for Expansionary Fiscal Contractions," The IUP Journal of Public Finance, IUP Publications, vol. 0(3), pages 7-15, August.
    2. António Afonso, 2001. "Non-Keynesian Effects of Fiscal Policy in the EU-15," Working Papers Department of Economics 2001/07, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    3. Carlos Vieira, 2004. "The Deficit?Interest Rate Connection: an empirical assessment of the EU," Economics Working Papers 5_2004, University of Évora, Department of Economics (Portugal).
    4. António Afonso & Christophe Rault, 2010. "Short and Long-run Behaviour of Long-term Sovereign Bond Yields," CESifo Working Paper Series 3249, CESifo Group Munich.
    5. António Afonso, 2001. "Government indebtedness and european consumers behaviour," Working Papers Department of Economics 2001/12, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    6. William Gissy, 1999. "Net treasury borrowing and interest-rate changes," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 23(1), pages 23-29, March.
    7. Tomas Wroblowsky, 2007. "Explaining the Variability of Debt Neutrality Tests Results: A Meta-Analysis of Ricardian Equivalence," South-Eastern Europe Journal of Economics, Association of Economic Universities of South and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea Region, vol. 5(1), pages 7-24.
    8. Tuan Van Nguyen, 2013. "Do Budget Deficits Affect Real Interest Rates? A Test of Ricardian Equivalence Theorem," Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica, Danubius University of Galati, issue 9(5), pages 86-102, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Deficit; Ricardian Equivalence;

    JEL classification:

    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy

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