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Operating Procedures and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Note on the New Zealand Experience from 1989 to 2008

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Abstract

The operating procedure of a central bank influences in no small measure whether the behavior of interest rates is consistent with the expectations hypothesis. In New Zealand, the predictive content of the term spread improves markedly in the wake of the switch from a quantity-based to a price-based operating procedure in March 1999. The Official Cash Rate system has made it easier for market participants to understand the day-to-day conduct of monetary policy. As a result, market interest rates have become more predictable, thereby contributing to the success of the expectations hypothesis in explaining the behavior of yields on very short-dated financial instruments.

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  • Alfred Guender & Allan G.J. Wu, 2010. "Operating Procedures and the Expectations Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates: A Note on the New Zealand Experience from 1989 to 2008," Working Papers in Economics 10/72, University of Canterbury, Department of Economics and Finance.
  • Handle: RePEc:cbt:econwp:10/72
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    File URL: http://www.econ.canterbury.ac.nz/RePEc/cbt/econwp/1072.pdf
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    Cited by:

    1. Hakan Berument & Richard T. Froyen, 2015. "Monetary policy and interest rates under inflation targeting in Australia and New Zealand," New Zealand Economic Papers, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(2), pages 171-188, August.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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