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Testing the Effectiveness of Unconventional Monetary Policy in Japan and the United States

Author

Listed:
  • Daisuke Ikeda
  • Shangshang Li
  • Sophocles Mavroeidis
  • Francesco Zanetti

Abstract

Unconventional monetary policy (UMP) may make the effective lower bound (ELB) on the short-term interest rate irrelevant. We develop a theoretical model that underpins our empirical test of this `irrelevance hypothesis,' based on the simple idea that under the hypothesis, the short rate can be excluded in any empirical model that accounts for alternative measures of monetary policy. We test the hypothesis for Japan and the United States using a structural vector autoregressive model with the ELB. We firmly reject the hypothesis but find that UMP has had strong delayed effects.

Suggested Citation

  • Daisuke Ikeda & Shangshang Li & Sophocles Mavroeidis & Francesco Zanetti, 2022. "Testing the Effectiveness of Unconventional Monetary Policy in Japan and the United States," CAMA Working Papers 2022-68, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2022-68
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    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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