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Factor augmented VAR revisited - A sparse dynamic factor model approach

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Abstract

We combine the factor augmented VAR framework with recently developed estimation and identification procedures for sparse dynamic factor models. Working with a sparse hierarchical prior distribution allows us to discriminate between zero and non-zero factor loadings. The non-zero loadings identify the unobserved factors and provide a meaningful economic interpretation for them. Applying our methodology to US macroeconomic data reveals indeed a high degree of sparsity in the data. We use the estimated FAVAR to study the effect of a monetary policy shock and a shock to the term premium. Factors and specific variables show sensible responses to the identified shocks.

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  • Simon Beyeler & Sylvia Kaufmann, 2019. "Factor augmented VAR revisited - A sparse dynamic factor model approach," Working Papers 16.08R, Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee.
  • Handle: RePEc:szg:worpap:1608r
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    Cited by:

    1. Thomas Despois & Catherine Doz, 2021. "Identifying and interpreting the factors in factor models via sparsity: Different approaches," PSE Working Papers halshs-02235543, HAL.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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