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Real-Time Detection of Hidden Fiscal Unsustainability : Lessons from the Eurozone Crisis

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  • MATSUOKA, Hideaki
  • 松岡, 秀明

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  • MATSUOKA, Hideaki & 松岡, 秀明, 2024. "Real-Time Detection of Hidden Fiscal Unsustainability : Lessons from the Eurozone Crisis," Discussion Papers 2024-02, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:econdp:2024-02
    Note: Last revised : March 2025; Second version : October 2024; First Version : June 2024
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    File URL: https://hit-u.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/2060157/files/070econDP24-02.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bernoth, Kerstin & Hughes Hallett, Andrew & Lewis, John, 2015. "The Cyclicality Of Automatic And Discretionary Fiscal Policy: What Can Real-Time Data Tell Us?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 221-243, January.
    2. Bohn, Henning, 2007. "Are stationarity and cointegration restrictions really necessary for the intertemporal budget constraint?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1837-1847, October.
    3. Reuter, Wolf Heinrich, 2019. "When and why do countries break their national fiscal rules?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 125-141.
    4. Aldama, Pierre & Creel, Jérôme, 2022. "Real-time fiscal policy responses in the OECD from 1997 to 2018: Procyclical but sustainable?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    5. Mauro, Paolo & Romeu, Rafael & Binder, Ariel & Zaman, Asad, 2015. "A modern history of fiscal prudence and profligacy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 55-70.
    6. Larch, Martin & Orseau, Eloïse & van der Wielen, Wouter, 2021. "Do EU fiscal rules support or hinder counter-cyclical fiscal policy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    7. Beetsma, Roel & Busse, Matthias & Germinetti, Lorenzo & Giuliodori, Massimo & Larch, Martin, 2023. "Is the road to hell paved with good intentions? An empirical analysis of budgetary follow-up in the EU," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    8. Jeffrey M Wooldridge, 2010. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232588, December.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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