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Real-Time Detection of Hidden Fiscal Unsustainability : Lessons from the Eurozone Crisis

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  • MATSUOKA, Hideaki
  • 松岡, 秀明

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  • MATSUOKA, Hideaki & 松岡, 秀明, 2024. "Real-Time Detection of Hidden Fiscal Unsustainability : Lessons from the Eurozone Crisis," Discussion Papers 2024-02, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hit:econdp:2024-02
    Note: Last revised : March 2025; Second version : October 2024; First Version : June 2024
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    File URL: https://hit-u.repo.nii.ac.jp/record/2060157/files/070econDP24-02.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mauro, Paolo & Romeu, Rafael & Binder, Ariel & Zaman, Asad, 2015. "A modern history of fiscal prudence and profligacy," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 55-70.
    2. Bernoth, Kerstin & Hughes Hallett, Andrew & Lewis, John, 2015. "The Cyclicality Of Automatic And Discretionary Fiscal Policy: What Can Real-Time Data Tell Us?," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(1), pages 221-243, January.
    3. Reuter, Wolf Heinrich, 2019. "When and why do countries break their national fiscal rules?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 125-141.
    4. Beetsma, Roel & Busse, Matthias & Germinetti, Lorenzo & Giuliodori, Massimo & Larch, Martin, 2023. "Is the road to hell paved with good intentions? An empirical analysis of budgetary follow-up in the EU," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    5. Larch, Martin & Orseau, Eloïse & van der Wielen, Wouter, 2021. "Do EU fiscal rules support or hinder counter-cyclical fiscal policy?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    6. Jeffrey M Wooldridge, 2010. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232588, December.
    7. Bohn, Henning, 2007. "Are stationarity and cointegration restrictions really necessary for the intertemporal budget constraint?," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1837-1847, October.
    8. Aldama, Pierre & Creel, Jérôme, 2022. "Real-time fiscal policy responses in the OECD from 1997 to 2018: Procyclical but sustainable?," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

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