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Estimation of Affine Term Structure Models with Spanned or Unspanned Stochastic Volatility

Listed author(s):
  • Drew D. Creal
  • Jing Cynthia Wu

We develop new procedures for maximum likelihood estimation of affine term structure models with spanned or unspanned stochastic volatility. Our approach uses linear regression to reduce the dimension of the numerical optimization problem yet it produces the same estimator as maximizing the likelihood. It improves the numerical behavior of estimation by eliminating parameters from the objective function that cause problems for conventional methods. We find that spanned models capture the cross-section of yields well but not volatility while unspanned models fit volatility at the expense of fitting the cross-section.

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File URL: http://www.nber.org/papers/w20115.pdf
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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 20115.

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Date of creation: May 2014
Publication status: published as Creal, Drew D. & Wu, Jing Cynthia, 2015. "Estimation of affine term structure models with spanned or unspanned stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 185(1), pages 60-81.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:20115
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