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The SR approach: A new estimation procedure for non-linear and non-Gaussian dynamic term structure models

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  • Andreasen, Martin M.
  • Christensen, Bent Jesper

Abstract

This paper suggests a new approach for estimating linear and non-linear dynamic term structure models with latent factors. We impose no distributional assumptions on the factors which therefore may be non-Gaussian. The novelty of our approach is to use many observables (yields or bond prices) in the cross-section dimension. This implies that the latent factors can be determined quite accurately by a sequence of cross-section regressions. We also show how output from these regressions can be used to obtain model parameters by a two- or three-step moment-based estimation procedure.

Suggested Citation

  • Andreasen, Martin M. & Christensen, Bent Jesper, 2015. "The SR approach: A new estimation procedure for non-linear and non-Gaussian dynamic term structure models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 184(2), pages 420-451.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:184:y:2015:i:2:p:420-451
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2014.10.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Andreasen, Martin M & Meldrum, Andrew, 2015. "Dynamic term structure models: the best way to enforce the zero lower bound in the United States," Bank of England working papers 550, Bank of England.
    2. Martin M. Andreasen & Jens H.E. Christensen & Glenn D. Rudebusch, 1809. "Term Structure Analysis with Big Data," CREATES Research Papers 2017-31, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    3. Andreasen, Martin M & Meldrum, Andrew, 2015. "Market beliefs about the UK monetary policy life-off horizon: a no-arbitrage shadow rate term structure model approach," Bank of England working papers 541, Bank of England.
    4. Martin M. Andreasen & Tom Engsted & Stig V. Møller & Magnus Sander, 2016. "Bond Market Asymmetries across Recessions and Expansions: New Evidence on Risk Premia," CREATES Research Papers 2016-26, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    5. Malik, Sheheryar & Meldrum, Andrew, 2016. "Evaluating the robustness of UK term structure decompositions using linear regression methods," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 85-102.
    6. Nyholm, Ken, 2016. "US-euro area term structure spillovers, implications for central banks," Working Paper Series 1980, European Central Bank.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bond data; GMM; Non-linear filtering; Non-linear least squares; SMM;

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C30 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - General

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