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Term structure estimation in the presence of autocorrelation

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  • Juneja, Januj

Abstract

This paper assesses the effects of autocorrelation on parameter estimates of affine term structure models (ATSM) when principal components analysis is used to extract factors. In contrast to recent studies, we design and run a Monte Carlo experiment that relies on the construction of a simulation design that is consistent with the data, rather than theory or observation, and find that parameter estimation from ATSM is precise in the presence of serial correlation in the measurement error term. Our findings show that parameter estimation of ATSM with principal component based factors is robust to autocorrelation misspecification.

Suggested Citation

  • Juneja, Januj, 2014. "Term structure estimation in the presence of autocorrelation," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 119-129.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:28:y:2014:i:c:p:119-129
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2014.02.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Auckenthaler, Julia & Kupfer, Alexander & Sendlhofer, Rupert, 2015. "The impact of liquidity on inflation-linked bonds: A hypothetical indexed bonds approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 139-154.
    2. repec:kap:rqfnac:v:50:y:2018:i:3:d:10.1007_s11156-017-0643-z is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Juneja, Januj A., 2016. "Financial crises and estimation bias in international bond markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 593-607.

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