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Money market uncertainty and retail interest rate fluctuations: A cross-country comparison

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  • Burkhard Raunig

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Economic Studies Division, Vienna, Austria)

  • Johann Scharler

Abstract

This paper analyzes empirically the relationship between money market uncertainty and unexpected deviations in retail interest rates in a sample of 10 OECD countries. We find that, with the exception of the US, money market uncertainty has only a modest impact on the conditional volatility of retail interest rates. Even for the US we find that the effects of money market uncertainty are spread out over time. Our results are consistent with the hypothesis that banking relationships include implicit insurance arrangements and thereby reduce uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Burkhard Raunig & Johann Scharler, 2007. "Money market uncertainty and retail interest rate fluctuations: A cross-country comparison," Economics working papers 2007-04, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    • Handle: RePEc:jku:econwp:2007_04
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    1. Kaiser, Jonas & Krämer, Walter, 2011. "A cautionary note on computing conditional from unconditional correlations," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 111(2), pages 176-179, May.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Interest Rate Pass-Through; Relationship Banking; Conditional Volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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