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Devlet iç borçlanma senetleri için getiri eğrisi tahmini

Author

Listed:
  • Özge AKINCI

    (Columbia Üniversitesi)

  • Burcu GÜRCİHAN

    (Pompeu Fabra Üniversitesi)

  • Refet GÜRKAYNAK

    (Bilkent Üniversitesi)

  • Özgür ÖZEL

    (T.C. Merkez Bankası)

Abstract

Piyasa katılımcılarının faiz beklentilerini yansıtan getiri eğrisinin tahmini mali analizin temel taşlarındandır. Bu makalede getiri eğrilerinin temel özelliklerini tanıtıp, bilgimiz dahilinde ilk defa, Türkiye için uzun vadeli sabit kuponlu tahvillerin de tahmine dahil edildiği yüksek frekansta getiri eğrisi tahminleri sunuyoruz. Günlük olarak tahmin edilen bu getiri eğrileri piyasa katılımcılarının makroekonomik gelişmelere tepkilerini ölçmek için uygun araçlardır. Bu makalede getiri eğrilerinden elde edilen sabit vadeli faizlerin para politikası, enflasyon verisi açıklaması, stopaj oranlarının değişmesi gibi olaylara verdikleri tepkiler vaka çalışması örnekleri olarak sunulmuştur.

Suggested Citation

  • Özge AKINCI & Burcu GÜRCİHAN & Refet GÜRKAYNAK & Özgür ÖZEL, 2007. "Devlet iç borçlanma senetleri için getiri eğrisi tahmini," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 22(252), pages 5-25.
    • Handle: RePEc:iif:iifjrn:v:22:y:2007:i:252:p:5-25
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    Cited by:

    1. Zelal Aktas & Harun Alp & Refet Gurkaynak & Mehtap Kesriyeli & Musa Orak, 2008. "Turkiye�de Para Politikasinin Aktarimi:Para Politikasinin Mali Piyasalara Etkisi," Working Papers 0811, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    2. Duran, Murat & Gülşen, Eda, 2013. "Estimating inflation compensation for Turkey using yield curves," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 592-601.
    3. H. Burcu Gurcihan & Ozgur Ozel, 2010. "Kuresel Finansal Kriz Doneminde Para Politikasi Kurulu Kararlarinin Piyasa Getirileri Uzerindeki Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1010, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    4. Oguzhan Cepni & Doruk Kucuksarac, 2017. "Optimal Mix of the Extended Nelson Siegel Model for Turkish Sovereign Yield Curve," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 37(2), pages 1133-1142.
    5. Murat Duran & Refet Gurkaynak & Pinar Ozlu & Deren Unalmis, 2010. "TCMB Faiz Kararlarinin Piyasa Faizleri Ve Hisse Senedi Piyasalari Uzerine Etkisi," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1008, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    6. Doruk Kucuksarac & Abdullah Kazdal & Ibrahim Ethem Guney, 2018. "Estimation of Currency Swap Yield Curve," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1803, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    bono ve tahvil piyasası; getiri eğrisi; vaka çalışması.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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