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TCMB Faiz Kararlarinin Piyasa Faizleri Ve Hisse Senedi Piyasalari Uzerine Etkisi

  • Murat Duran
  • Refet Gurkaynak
  • Pinar Ozlu
  • Deren Unalmis

Para politikasinin mali piyasalara etkisi parasal aktarim mekanizmasinin ilk adimidir. Politika faizinin varlik fiyatlari uzerine etkisi tahmin edilirken karsilasilan onemli sorunlardan biri politika faizleri ve varlik fiyatlari arasindaki eszamanli etkilesimdir. Bu calismada, para politikasinin Turkiye’deki hisse senedi fiyatlari ve piyasa faizleri uzerindeki etkisi, eszamanlilik sorununa etkili bir cozum olan Rigobon ve Sack (2004) tarafindan onerilen degisen oynakliga dayali genellestirilmis beklemler yontemi (GMM) ile tahmin edilmistir. Bulgular daha once de vaka calismasi ile elde edilen sonuclar ile uyumludur. Politika faizlerindeki artislar, hisse senedi fiyatlarini dusurmekte, daha uzun vadeli faizleri ise vadeye gore asamali olarak azalan bir olcude artirmaktadir.

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File URL: http://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/289411e8-4be3-4f0e-9323-8f5b0c9333e9/EN1008.pdf?MOD=AJPERES&CACHEID=289411e8-4be3-4f0e-9323-8f5b0c9333e9
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Paper provided by Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey in its series CBT Research Notes in Economics with number 1008.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:tcb:econot:1008
Contact details of provider: Postal: Head Office, Istiklal Cad. 10 Ulus, 06100 Ankara
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  1. Zelal Aktas & Harun Alp & Refet Gurkaynak & Mehtap Kesriyeli & Musa Orak, 2008. "Turkiye’de Para Politikasinin Aktarimi:Para Politikasinin Mali Piyasalara Etkisi," Working Papers 0811, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
  2. Roberto Rigobon & Brian Sack, 2001. "Measuring the Reaction of Monetary Policy to the Stock Market," NBER Working Papers 8350, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  3. Refet Gurkaynak & Brian Sack & Eric Swanson, 2005. "Do Actions Speak Louder than Words? The Response of Asset Prices to Monetary Policy Actions and Statements," Macroeconomics 0504013, EconWPA.
  4. Özge AKINCI & Burcu GÜRCİHAN & Refet GÜRKAYNAK & Özgür ÖZEL, 2007. "Devlet iç borçlanma senetleri için getiri eğrisi tahmini," Iktisat Isletme ve Finans, Bilgesel Yayincilik, vol. 22(252), pages 5-25.
  5. Rigobon, Roberto & Sack, Brian, 2004. "The impact of monetary policy on asset prices," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(8), pages 1553-1575, November.
  6. Ehrmann, Michael & Fratzscher, Marcel & Rigobon, Roberto, 2005. "Stocks, bonds, money markets and exchange rates: measuring international financial transmission," Working Paper Series 0452, European Central Bank.
  7. Roberto Rigobon, 2003. "Identification Through Heteroskedasticity," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 85(4), pages 777-792, November.
  8. Ellingsen, Tore & Söderström, Ulf, 1998. "Monetary Policy and Market Interest Rates," SSE/EFI Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 242, Stockholm School of Economics, revised 08 Mar 1999.
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