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A time-frequency analysis of the Canadian macroeconomy and the yield curve

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Abstract

We use wavelet analysis to study the relationship between the yield curve and macro- economic indicators in Canada. We rely on the Nelson-Siegel approach to model the zero coupon yield curve, and use the Kalman lter to estimate its time-varying factors: the level, the slope and the curvature. Apart from the bidirectional yield-macro relation, the paper broadens the existing literature by exploring the link between the monetary policy and the yield curve.

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  • Mustapha Olalekan Ojo & Luís Aguiar-Conraria & Maria Joana Soares, 2017. "A time-frequency analysis of the Canadian macroeconomy and the yield curve," NIPE Working Papers 12/2017, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    • Handle: RePEc:nip:nipewp:12/2017
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    Cited by:

    1. Aguiar-Conraria, Luis & Martins, Manuel M.F. & Soares, Maria Joana, 2018. "Estimating the Taylor rule in the time-frequency domain," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 122-137.
    2. Fernando Alexandre & Pedro Bação & Miguel Portela, 2019. "A flatter life-cycle consumption profile," NIPE Working Papers 01/2019, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Term structure; Yield curve; Macroeconomic variables; Wavelet Power Spectrum; Wavelet Coherency; Wavelet Phase Difference;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C49 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Other

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