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Estrategia de política monetaria e inflación en Japón

Author

Listed:
  • Fructuoso Borrallo Egea

    (Banco de España)

  • Pedro del Río López

    (Banco de España)

Abstract

Ante un período muy prolongado de baja inflación, el Banco de Japón ha ido modificando su estrategia de política monetaria en las dos últimas décadas y ha sido pionero en la introducción de medidas no convencionales: desde reducir los tipos de interés oficiales a cero y, más recientemente, situarlos en niveles negativos, pasando por varios programas de compra de activos y forward guidance, hasta la política de control de la curva de tipos de interés (Yield Curve Control) que implantó en septiembre de 2016. Pese a todos estos esfuerzos, Japón ha continuado registrando un período muy persistente de baja inflación, con tasas bastante alejadas del objetivo del banco central en las últimas décadas. En este documento se analizan los cambios en la estrategia del Banco de Japón en su lucha contra la baja inflación, con un foco especial en las razones que lo llevaron a adoptar la política de control de tipos de interés, se describen su funcionamiento y sus principales características, y se evalúan los resultados obtenidos bajo esta. Si bien esta nueva estrategia ha permitido al Banco de Japón controlar la curva de rendimientos de una manera más eficaz y sostenible, reducir el volumen de compras de activos y atenuar los potenciales efectos adversos para la estabilidad financiera, el análisis empírico muestra que aún no ha conseguido modificar la naturaleza adaptativa y persistente del proceso de formación de precios y de las expectativas de inflación en Japón.

Suggested Citation

  • Fructuoso Borrallo Egea & Pedro del Río López, 2021. "Estrategia de política monetaria e inflación en Japón," Occasional Papers 2116, Banco de España.
  • Handle: RePEc:bde:opaper:2116
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    política monetaria; inflación; expectativas de inflación; tipos de interés;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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