IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/b/cml/prodgz/prg2015.html
   My bibliography  Save this book

Comparación de la transmisióon de choques de política monetaria en América Latina: Un panel VAR jerárquico

Author

Listed:
  • Fernando José Pérez Forero

    (Banco Central de Reserva del Perú)

Abstract

Este documento evalúa y compara los efectos de los choques de política monetaria en los países latinoamericanos donde se ha puesto en práctica el esquema de metas de inflación (Brasil, Chile, Colombia, México y Perú). Se estima un panel VAR jerárquico que permite utilizar los datos de manera eficiente y, al mismo tiempo, aprovechar la heterogeneidad entre países. Los choques monetarios se identifican con un procedimiento agnóstico que impone restricciones de cero y de signo. Encontramos un efecto de corto plazo real de la política monetaria sobre el producto (con un máximo alrededor de los 12 a 15 meses); una respuesta significativa de mediano plazo de los precios con la ausencia del llamado puzzle del precio y una respuesta en forma de joroba del tipo de cambio, es decir, evidencia débil del llamado puzzle de la sobrerreación retrasada. Sin embargo, encontramos un cierto grado de heterogeneidad en los efectos y la propagación de los choques monetarios entre países. En particular, encontramos efect más fuertes sobre el producto y los precios en Brasil y Perú con respecto a Chile, Colombia y México, y una reacción más fuerte del tipo de cambio en Brasil, Chile y Colombia en relación con México y Perú. Por último, se presenta la respuesta al impulso promedio ponderada después de un choque monetario, que es representativo de la región.

Suggested Citation

  • Fernando José Pérez Forero, 2015. "Comparación de la transmisióon de choques de política monetaria en América Latina: Un panel VAR jerárquico," Premio de Banca Central Rodrigo Gómez / Central Banking Award "Rodrigo Gómez", Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, number prg2015, July-Dece.
    • Handle: RePEc:cml:prodgz:prg2015
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.cemla.org/PDF/premiobc/pub-lib-premio2015.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Adriana Soares Sales & Maria Tannuri-Pianto, 2007. "Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Brazilian Market for Bank Reserves," Working Papers Series 154, Central Bank of Brazil, Research Department.
    2. G. Terrier & Rodrigo O. Valdes & Camilo E Tovar Mora & Jorge A Chan-Lau & Carlos Fernandez Valdovinos & Mercedes Garcia-Escribano & Carlos I. Medeiros & Man-Keung Tang & Mercedes Vera Martin & W. Chri, 2011. "Policy Instruments to Lean Against the Wind in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 11/159, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fernando José Pérez Forero, 2015. "Comparing the Transmission of Monetary Policy Shocks in Latin America: A Hierachical Panel VAR," Premio de Banca Central Rodrigo Gómez / Central Banking Award "Rodrigo Gómez", Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, number prg2015eng, July-Dece.
    2. Lambert, F. & Ramos-Tallada, J. & Rebillard, C., 2011. "Capital controls and spillover effects: evidence from Latin-American countries," Working papers 357, Banque de France.
    3. Luis Fernando Melo & Hernán Rincón, 2013. "Choques externos y precios de los activos en Latinoamérica antes y después de la quiebra de Lehman Brothers," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 31(71), pages 1-35, June.
    4. Marco Vega & Adrian Armas & Paul Castillo, 2014. "Inflation Targeting and Quantitative Tightening: Effects of Reserve Requirements in Peru," ECONOMIA JOURNAL OF THE LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, ECONOMIA JOURNAL OF THE LATIN AMERICAN AND CARIBBEAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION, vol. 0(Fall 2014), pages 133-175, June.
    5. Fernando Arias & David Delgado & Daniel Parra & Hernán Rincón-Castro, 2016. "Gross Capital Flows and their long-term Determinants for Developing Economies: A Panel Co-integration Approach," Borradores de Economia 932, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    6. Nicolas E. Magud & Carmen M. Reinhart & Esteban R. Vesperoni, 2014. "Capital Inflows, Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit Booms," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(3), pages 415-430, August.
    7. Radu Alin Morutan, 2015. "A View Of Macroeconomic Stability," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 720-727, December.
    8. Patrick A. Imam & Erlend Nier & Luis Ignacio Jácome, 2012. "Building Blocks for Effective Macroprudential Policies in Latin America; Institutional Considerations," IMF Working Papers 12/183, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Danisewicz, Piotr & Reinhardt, Dennis & Sowerbutts, Rhiannon, 2017. "On a tight leash: Does bank organizational structure matter for macroprudential spillovers?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 174-194.
    10. Christian Glocker & Pascal Towbin, 2012. "The Macroeconomic Effects of Reserve Requirements," WIFO Working Papers 420, WIFO.
    11. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Haiti; 2012 Article IV Consultation and Fifth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility," IMF Staff Country Reports 13/90, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Arias, Fernando & Parra-Amado, Daniel & Garrido, Daira, 2013. "¿Responden los diferentes tipos de flujos de capitales a los mismos fundamentos y en el mismo grado? : evidencia reciente para países emergentes," Chapters, in: Rincón-Castro, Hernán & Velasco, Andrés M. (ed.), Flujos de capitales, choques externos y respuestas de política en países emergentes, chapter 2, pages 53-81, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    13. Zhang, Longmei & Zoli, Edda, 2016. "Leaning against the wind: Macroprudential policy in Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 33-52.
    14. Jérôme Vandenbussche & Ursula Vogel & Enrica Detragiache, 2015. "Macroprudential Policies and Housing Prices: A New Database and Empirical Evidence for Central, Eastern, and Southeastern Europe," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 47(S1), pages 343-377, March.
    15. International Monetary Fund, 2012. "Credit Growth and the Effectiveness of Reserve Requirements and Other Macroprudential Instruments in Latin America," IMF Working Papers 12/142, International Monetary Fund.
    16. Ramos-Tallada, Julio, 2015. "Bank risks, monetary shocks and the credit channel in Brazil: Identification and evidence from panel data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 135-161.
    17. Antoine GODIN & Sakir-Devrim YILMAZ, 2020. "Modelling Small Open Developing Economies in a Financialized World: A Stock-Flow Consistent Prototype Growth Model," Working Paper 5eb7e0e8-560f-4ce6-91a5-5, Agence française de développement.
    18. Ocampo, José Antonio, 2012. "The Development Implications of External Integration in Latin America," WIDER Working Paper Series 048, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    19. Martín Tobal, 2014. "Prudential Regulation, Currency Mismatches and Exchange Rate Regimes in Latin America and the Caribbean," Documentos de Investigación - Research Papers 17, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    20. Cecilia Maigua & Gekara Mouni, 2016. "Influence of Interest Rates Determinants on the Performance of Commercial Banks in Kenya," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 6(2), pages 121-133, April.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    vectores autorregresivos en paneles; restricciones de signo; modelos jerárquicos bayesianos;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:cml:prodgz:prg2015. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Ana Laura Sibaja-Jiménez). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/cemlamx.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.