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Open-Ended Treasury Purchases: From Market Functioning to Financial Easing

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Abstract

We exploit the Fed’s Treasury purchases conducted from March 2020 to March 2022 to assess whether asset purchases can be tailored to accomplish different objectives: restoring market functioning and providing stimulus. We find that, on average, flow effects are significant in the market-functioning (MF) period (March-September 2020), while stock effects are strong in the QE period (September 2020-March 2022). In the MF period, the elevated frequency and size of the purchase operations allowed flow effects to greatly improve relative price deviations, especially at the long-end of the yield curve. But stock effects remained localized, thus not large enough to be stimulative. In contrast, in the QE period, stock effects were stimulative because cross-asset price impacts got larger as the Fed communication and implementation moved toward “traditional” QE, increasing purchases’ predictability. Lower uncertainty about the expected size and duration of total purchases facilitated their impounding into prices. Overall, these findings suggest that communication and implementation can be used to tailor the goals of asset purchases.

Suggested Citation

  • Stefania D'Amico & Max Gillet & Sam Schulhofer-Wohl & Tim Seida, 2024. "Open-Ended Treasury Purchases: From Market Functioning to Financial Easing," Working Paper Series WP 2024-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhwp:98006
    DOI: 10.21033/wp-2024-08
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stefania D’Amico & William English & David López‐Salido & Edward Nelson, 2012. "The Federal Reserve's Large‐scale Asset Purchase Programmes: Rationale and Effects," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 122(564), pages 415-446, November.
    2. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 2008. "Wild Bootstrap Tests for IV Regression," Queen's Economics Department Working Papers 273611, Queen's University - Department of Economics.
    3. D’Amico, Stefania & King, Thomas B., 2013. "Flow and stock effects of large-scale treasury purchases: Evidence on the importance of local supply," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(2), pages 425-448.
    4. Darrell Duffie & Frank M. Keane, 2023. "Market-Function Asset Purchases," Staff Reports 1054, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
    5. Davidson, Russell & MacKinnon, James G., 2010. "Wild Bootstrap Tests for IV Regression," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 28(1), pages 128-144.
    6. Brian Bonis & Jane E. Ihrig & Min Wei, 2017. "The Effect of the Federal Reserve’s Securities Holdings on Longer-Term Interest Rates," FEDS Notes 2017-04-20-1, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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